North Dakota State
MVFC · 3-0 vs FCS · 3-0 overall
Strength of record
#1
A #25-level team matches it 22% of the time
Power
#2
+21.6 pts · likely #1–17
Strength of schedule
36.0
#20 of 128
Strength of victory
36.0
#1
Record SOS
0.704
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 77.8%
Remaining SOS
47.6
12 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Eastern Washington | W 35-10 | +4.2 | 0.0 | 0.373 | 2 | +27.7 |
| 2 | vs Maine | W 44-7 | −6.7 | −3.1 | 0.101 | 3 | +24.5 |
| 3 | vs Central Arkansas | W 49-31 | +16.1 | −3.1 | 0.606 | 1 | +28.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs South Dakota · p 0.330
- Wk 6: at Missouri State · p 0.618
- Wk 7: at North Dakota · p 0.627
- Wk 8: vs Western Illinois · p 0.057
- Wk 9: vs Murray State · p 0.133
- Wk 10: at South Dakota State · p 0.856
- Wk 11: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.567
- Wk 12: at Northern Iowa · p 0.508
- Wk 13: vs Drake · p 0.047
- Wk 14: at Montana State · p 0.892
- Wk 15: at South Dakota · p 0.495
- Wk 16: at Montana · p 0.589