Southern Illinois
MVFC · 2-0 vs FCS · 3-0 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 15% of the time
Power
#8
+13.9 pts · likely #4–44
Strength of schedule
60.0
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
60.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.750
Opp. 75.0% · Opp. opp. 75.0%
Remaining SOS
41.7
10 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Austin Peay | W 49-23 | +13.1 | −3.1 | 0.527 | 1 | +31.4 |
| 3 | at Southeast Missouri State | W 26-25 | +12.5 | +3.1 | 0.674 | 1 | +15.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Missouri State · p 0.450
- Wk 6: at Youngstown State · p 0.565
- Wk 7: at Murray State · p 0.246
- Wk 8: vs South Dakota State · p 0.738
- Wk 9: at Western Illinois · p 0.123
- Wk 10: vs South Dakota · p 0.330
- Wk 11: at North Dakota State · p 0.863
- Wk 12: vs Indiana State · p 0.046
- Wk 13: vs Nicholls State · p 0.099
- Wk 14: at Idaho · p 0.706
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Northern IllinoisFBS · W 14-11