Elon
CAA · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#14
A #25-level team matches it 64% of the time
Power
#20
+10.8 pts · likely #7–51
Strength of schedule
41.0
#12 of 128
Strength of victory
40.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.398
Opp. 22.2% · Opp. opp. 75.0%
Remaining SOS
47.0
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Elon. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Gardner-Webb | L 27-34 | +3.0 | +3.1 | 0.424 | 2 | +2.1 |
| 3 | vs North Carolina A&T | W 27-3 | −0.7 | −3.1 | 0.191 | 3 | +17.7 |
| 4 | at Campbell | W 28-24 | +10.1 | +3.1 | 0.615 | 1 | +16.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs William & Mary · p 0.480
- Wk 6: vs North Carolina Central · p 0.521
- Wk 7: at Villanova · p 0.698
- Wk 8: vs Monmouth · p 0.255
- Wk 10: at Delaware · p 0.740
- Wk 11: at Richmond · p 0.471
- Wk 12: vs Hampton · p 0.127
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Wake ForestFBS · L 17-37