Missouri State
MVFC · 1-1 vs FCS · 1-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 90% of the time
Power
#24
+10.2 pts · likely #8–57
Strength of schedule
41.9
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
13.8
1 wins
Record SOS
0.653
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 62.5%
Remaining SOS
48.7
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Southern Illinois · p 0.724
- Wk 6: vs North Dakota State · p 0.748
- Wk 7: at Western Illinois · p 0.123
- Wk 8: vs Murray State · p 0.133
- Wk 9: at Youngstown State · p 0.565
- Wk 10: vs Illinois State · p 0.402
- Wk 11: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.343
- Wk 12: at South Dakota State · p 0.856
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at KansasFBS · L 17-48