Marist
Pioneer · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-2 overall
Strength of record
#49
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#128
−20.2 pts · likely #110–128
Strength of schedule
12.0
#60 of 128
Strength of victory
11.2
1 wins
Record SOS
0.218
Opp. 11.1% · Opp. opp. 43.1%
Remaining SOS
12.5
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Marist. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Georgetown | L 7-49 | −11.7 | +3.1 | 0.117 | 3 | −39.8 |
| 3 | vs Davidson | L 21-49 | −4.3 | −3.1 | 0.133 | 3 | −31.2 |
| 4 | at Valparaiso | W 36-30 OT | −12.1 | +3.1 | 0.112 | 3 | −9.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Stetson · p 0.070
- Wk 6: at Columbia · p 0.402
- Wk 7: vs San Diego · p 0.086
- Wk 8: at Presbyterian · p 0.044
- Wk 9: at St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.175
- Wk 10: vs Drake · p 0.047
- Wk 11: at Dayton · p 0.097
- Wk 12: vs Bucknell · p 0.081