Computer ratings · FCS vs FCS games only

FCS College Football Ratings & Strength of Schedule

2023 Week 3 · through Saturday, September 16

Early-season ratings are provisional: too few FCS games connect the league yet, so last season still carries real weight.

Season

Week

How this week's numbers compare

Power (0 = average team): #1 +20.4 · #10 +14.5 · middle −1.6
SOS (higher is harder): hardest 82.3 · #10 63.1 · middle 32.6 · easiest 3.7
SOR (lower is better): #1 22% · #25 —

Power is in points: a +20 team would be favored by about 20 over an average FCS team on a neutral field, and by 10 over a +10 team. SOS, SOR, and SOV are measured against a #25-level team: one as strong as the 25th-best team in these ratings usually is at season's end (+9.0 points). That comes from these ratings, not the poll. An SOS of 50 means a #25-level team would lose about half of these games; above 50, the opponents were, on average, better than that.

What these columns mean

#: Rank in the column you sorted by (strength of record unless you pick another). "—" means too few FCS games to rank.
vs FCS: Record against FCS teams. These are the only games any number here counts.
All games: Record in every game, including opponents outside FCS. For reference only.
SOR: Strength of record: how often a #25-level team would do at least this well against this exact schedule. Lower is harder to achieve.
Power: Points better than an average FCS team on a neutral field. The difference between two teams is the expected margin.
SOS: Strength of schedule, 0–100: on average, how often a #25-level team would lose each of these games. Higher is harder.
SOS rank: Rank by SOS. Teams need 3 FCS games to be ranked.
SOV: Strength of victory: SOS counting only the games the team won.
Record SOS: NCAA RPI-style schedule strength from records only: 2/3 opponents' win % plus 1/3 their opponents' win %.

Only games between two FCS teams count. Method v1 · 110 FCS games · run 62899cb91279

Team

vs FCS

All games

SOS rank

3-0

22%

+11.8

32.9

0.574

33.6

North Dakota StateMVFC

3-0

38%

+20.2

27.2

0.667

46.6

Abilene ChristianUAC

2-1

68%

+10.6

39.1

22.9

0.639

39.4

CampbellCAA

2-1

70%

+10.9

36.6

33.6

0.639

38.4

StonehillNEC

2-1

79%

−6.3

30.3

23.5

0.852

19.9

Jackson StateSWAC

2-1

2-2

79%

+12.4

29.5

26.5

0.556

15.4

Montana StateBig Sky

2-1

80%

+19.5

35.7

12.5

0.667

46.0

North AlabamaUAC

2-2

82%

+0.3

41.6

33.8

0.648

38.2

Utah TechUAC

1-2

89%

−4.9

51.7

30.5

0.528

43.6

Illinois StateMVFC

2-1

90%

+7.0

20.7

13.0

0.528

37.8

ChattanoogaSouthern

2-1

91%

+6.8

19.3

17.0

0.296

39.6

HamptonCAA

2-1

93%

−5.9

17.7

23.8

—

43.6

SouthernSWAC

1-2

98%

+0.6

31.6

13.6

0.444

21.5

LehighPatriot

1-2

99%

−9.4

24.9

26.0

0.472

32.7

GeorgetownPatriot

2-1

99%

−4.0

6.1

4.9

0.306

30.2

Sacred HeartNEC

0-3

100%

−11.6

15.6

—

0.352

20.3

—

South Dakota StateMVFC

2-0

3-0

26%

+20.4

39.4

small sample

39.4

0.625

52.0

—

Incarnate WordSouthland

2-0

2-1

32%

+19.7

38.9

small sample

38.9

0.569

12.9

—

Holy CrossPatriot

2-0

2-1

40%

+17.1

34.2

small sample

34.2

0.250

25.3

—

Weber StateBig Sky

1-0

2-1

37%

+16.9

63.2

small sample

63.2

—

34.6

—

DelawareCAA

2-0

2-1

64%

+15.7

19.7

small sample

19.7

0.250

38.3

—

UC DavisBig Sky

2-0

2-1

57%

+15.5

24.7

small sample

24.7

0.333

34.8

—

MontanaBig Sky

2-0

3-0

57%

+15.1

24.4

small sample

24.4

0.583

48.5

—

New HampshireCAA

2-0

2-1

54%

+14.5

26.4

small sample

26.4

1.000

38.8

—

Southeast Missouri StateOVC

1-1

1-2

91%

+14.4

35.7

small sample

15.5

0.833

30.0

—

Southern IllinoisMVFC

2-0

3-0

13%

+14.4

63.1

small sample

63.1

1.000

39.8

—

Sacramento StateBig Sky

2-0

3-0

76%

+13.9

12.7

small sample

12.7

0.333

43.3

—

FurmanSouthern

2-0

2-1

59%

+13.3

22.7

small sample

22.7

0.236

33.8

—

IdahoBig Sky

1-0

2-1

91%

+12.0

9.0

small sample

9.0

0.333

44.2

—

Florida A&MSWAC

1-0

2-1

28%

+11.8

71.7

small sample

71.7

0.833

20.6

—

MercerSouthern

2-0

2-1

69%

+11.7

16.1

small sample

16.1

0.736

34.3

—

Stephen F. AustinSouthland

2-0

2-1

62%

+11.5

21.2

small sample

21.2

0.917

36.6

—

HarvardIvy

1-0

83%

+10.4

16.9

small sample

16.9

0.333

32.6

—

Youngstown StateMVFC

2-0

2-1

82%

+9.6

9.3

small sample

9.3

0.917

41.3

—

VillanovaCAA

2-0

2-1

72%

+9.5

15.3

small sample

15.3

0.417

46.7

—

North Carolina CentralMEAC

1-0

2-1

76%

+9.3

24.2

small sample

24.2

0.000

27.7

—

North DakotaMVFC

2-0

2-1

84%

+9.3

8.6

small sample

8.6

0.250

43.2

—

Rhode IslandCAA

2-0

2-1

71%

+9.3

15.7

small sample

15.7

0.333

37.9

—

ElonCAA

1-1

1-2

92%

+9.0

29.4

small sample

19.0

0.167

48.3

—

UT MartinOVC

2-0

2-1

67%

+8.6

17.3

small sample

17.3

—

34.1

—

PrincetonIvy

1-0

83%

+8.3

16.5

small sample

16.5

—

28.8

—

UAlbanyCAA

1-0

1-2

53%

+8.2

47.2

small sample

47.2

1.000

43.9

—

RichmondCAA

1-1

1-2

99%

+7.9

9.1

small sample

8.9

0.083

37.5

—

Western CarolinaSouthern

2-0

2-1

31%

+7.9

43.9

small sample

43.9

—

27.4

—

Northern IowaMVFC

1-1

1-2

93%

+7.8

32.6

small sample

13.7

—

44.7

—

Southern UtahUAC

0-1

0-3

100%

+7.0

80.4

small sample

—

0.667

37.6

—

Tarleton StateUAC

2-0

2-1

60%

+7.0

22.4

small sample

22.4

0.431

40.7

—

Austin PeayUAC

1-1

1-2

87%

+6.9

39.8

small sample

22.6

0.833

34.9

—

South DakotaMVFC

2-0

2-1

80%

+6.0

10.5

small sample

10.5

0.333

48.4

—

PennIvy

1-0

81%

+5.8

18.9

small sample

18.9

0.333

27.7

—

Gardner-WebbOVC

1-1

1-2

85%

+5.6

40.0

small sample

51.0

0.833

31.6

—

Central ArkansasUAC

0-1

1-2

100%

+5.2

82.3

small sample

—

0.833

45.1

—

FordhamPatriot

1-1

2-1

98%

+5.0

21.4

small sample

6.9

0.833

22.8

—

MonmouthCAA

1-1

1-2

82%

+4.5

42.7

small sample

44.9

0.694

37.0

—

Southeastern LouisianaSouthland

0-1

0-3

100%

+3.6

23.6

small sample

—

0.333

21.5

—

Missouri StateMVFC

0-1

0-2

100%

+3.5

55.9

small sample

—

45.0

—

Eastern KentuckyUAC

0-1

0-3

100%

+3.1

40.6

small sample

—

41.9

—

SamfordSouthern

0-1

1-2

100%

+2.8

38.8

small sample

—

30.1

—

Kennesaw StateFCS Indep.

0-2

1-2

100%

+2.4

55.2

small sample

—

0.519

21.2

—

Eastern IllinoisOVC

2-0

2-1

45%

+2.2

32.5

small sample

32.5

0.917

25.5

—

YaleIvy

0-1

100%

+1.7

53.0

small sample

—

0.667

28.1

—

DartmouthIvy

0-1

100%

+0.8

70.8

small sample

—

1.000

28.3

—

Alabama StateSWAC

1-0

1-1

76%

+0.4

24.0

small sample

24.0

0.500

28.1

—

Eastern WashingtonBig Sky

1-1

1-2

66%

+0.4

60.0

small sample

45.0

0.750

40.7

—

Tennessee StateOVC

2-0

2-1

55%

+0.3

24.1

small sample

24.1

1.000

27.1

—

ButlerPioneer

0-1

2-1

100%

+0.1

74.0

small sample

—

0.833

10.2

—

LafayettePatriot

2-0

2-1

67%

−0.3

17.9

small sample

17.9

0.250

36.4

—

DavidsonPioneer

1-1

1-2

100%

−1.0

7.0

small sample

3.6

0.208

11.3

—

TowsonCAA

1-1

1-2

92%

−1.0

30.5

small sample

41.1

0.542

47.0

—

Texas SouthernSWAC

0-1

0-3

100%

−1.6

11.4

small sample

—

0.167

29.9

—

Morgan StateMEAC

1-1

1-2

91%

−1.6

41.1

small sample

69.9

0.417

27.1

—

HowardMEAC

0-1

1-2

100%

−1.8

13.2

small sample

—

29.0

—

BryantOVC

1-1

1-2

98%

−2.0

12.6

small sample

12.2

—

37.2

—

BrownIvy

1-0

66%

−2.0

33.9

small sample

33.9

—

32.9

—

Saint FrancisNEC

0-2

0-3

100%

−2.1

37.4

small sample

—

0.417

13.8

—

Charleston SouthernOVC

0-1

1-2

100%

−2.4

54.5

small sample

—

0.833

31.2

—

DuquesneNEC

0-0

1-2

—

−2.7

—

25.7

—

MerrimackNEC

0-2

1-2

100%

−3.3

42.3

small sample

—

0.417

14.4

—

Alcorn StateSWAC

1-1

1-2

95%

−3.5

31.6

small sample

10.0

0.583

24.7

—

Prairie View A&MSWAC

1-1

1-2

87%

−3.6

35.8

small sample

37.0

0.444

27.6

—

Cal PolyBig Sky

1-0

2-1

83%

−3.7

16.5

small sample

16.5

—

48.3

—

CornellIvy

1-0

86%

−4.5

13.8

small sample

13.8

0.500

30.4

—

Murray StateMVFC

1-0

1-2

96%

−4.5

3.7

small sample

3.7

0.667

47.6

—

North Carolina A&TCAA

0-2

0-3

100%

−4.6

44.7

small sample

—

0.000

40.3

—

ColumbiaIvy

0-1

100%

−4.9

20.6

small sample

—

0.667

29.5

—

Alabama A&MSWAC

0-1

1-2

100%

−5.5

32.9

small sample

—

0.167

27.1

—

Grambling StateSWAC

0-1

1-2

100%

−5.8

13.7

small sample

—

19.0

—

MaineCAA

0-2

0-3

100%

−6.0

59.8

small sample

—

0.750

40.4

—

Nicholls StateSouthland

0-1

0-2

100%

−6.2

59.7

small sample

—

0.667

36.1

—

Northern ArizonaBig Sky

0-2

0-3

100%

−6.5

34.5

small sample

—

0.417

49.9

—

San DiegoPioneer

0-2

0-3

100%

−6.8

29.3

small sample

—

9.3

—

Norfolk StateMEAC

1-0

1-2

73%

−7.0

26.8

small sample

26.8

—

25.0

—

St. Thomas (MN)Pioneer

0-2

1-2

100%

−7.0

42.3

small sample

—

0.667

10.5

—

Portland StateBig Sky

0-0

1-2

—

−7.1

—

36.2

—

BucknellPatriot

1-0

1-1

89%

−7.1

10.8

small sample

10.8

1.000

26.9

—

Long IslandNEC

0-1

0-3

100%

−7.3

25.5

small sample

—

15.5

—

LindenwoodOVC

1-1

2-1

92%

−7.3

37.5

small sample

13.6

0.208

29.1

—

ColgatePatriot

0-2

0-3

100%

−7.6

43.5

small sample

—

0.708

28.7

—

East Tennessee StateSouthern

0-1

1-2

100%

−8.4

32.9

small sample

—

0.333

35.3

—

Bethune-CookmanSWAC

0-0

1-2

—

−8.4

—

30.6

—

Central Connecticut StateNEC

0-1

1-2

100%

−8.5

10.1

small sample

—

0.667

16.4

—

Stony BrookCAA

0-2

0-3

100%

−8.5

58.1

small sample

—

0.667

42.5

—

VMISouthern

1-1

1-2

96%

−8.5

20.5

small sample

26.7

0.833

33.4

—

East Texas A&MSouthland

0-2

100%

−9.1

57.9

small sample

—

0.667

29.9

—

Robert MorrisOVC

1-1

1-2

83%

−9.1

44.1

small sample

28.2

0.583

31.1

—

Tennessee TechOVC

0-2

0-3

100%

−9.3

39.7

small sample

—

0.569

30.2

—

South Carolina StateMEAC

0-1

0-3

100%

−9.3

52.4

small sample

—

0.500

19.2

—

WoffordSouthern

0-2

0-3

100%

−9.3

34.9

small sample

—

0.417

32.8

—

Mississippi Valley StateSWAC

0-0

0-2

—

−9.3

—

30.0

—

McNeeseSouthland

0-2

0-3

100%

−9.5

27.9

small sample

—

0.472

27.2

—

StetsonPioneer

0-1

2-1

100%

−10.2

79.7

small sample

—

0.583

11.0

—

Northern ColoradoBig Sky

0-2

0-3

100%

−10.4

64.9

small sample

—

0.694

38.6

—

Western IllinoisMVFC

0-2

0-3

100%

−10.5

23.9

small sample

—

0.250

47.6

—

Arkansas-Pine BluffSWAC

0-1

1-2

100%

−10.8

28.6

small sample

—

1.000

23.7

—

Indiana StateMVFC

0-1

0-3

100%

−11.3

16.6

small sample

—

1.000

41.7

—

DaytonPioneer

0-1

2-1

100%

−11.3

41.3

small sample

—

0.500

12.8

—

ValparaisoPioneer

0-1

0-2

100%

−11.8

48.6

small sample

—

1.000

13.5

—

Northwestern StateSouthland

0-1

0-3

100%

−12.2

38.2

small sample

—

1.000

21.9

—

Idaho StateBig Sky

0-1

0-3

100%

−12.6

34.2

small sample

—

47.4

—

Delaware StateMEAC

0-1

0-3

100%

−12.9

43.5

small sample

—

0.000

23.2

—

Morehead StatePioneer

0-1

1-1

100%

−12.9

64.6

small sample

—

0.889

17.0

—

DrakePioneer

0-2

0-3

100%

−13.1

62.7

small sample

—

0.750

18.9

—

WagnerNEC

1-1

1-2

94%

−13.4

26.0

small sample

15.5

0.250

16.2

—

LamarSouthland

0-2

0-3

100%

−13.7

46.0

small sample

—

0.667

22.9

—

The CitadelSouthern

0-2

0-3

100%

−14.6

40.2

small sample

—

0.463

30.7

—

Houston ChristianSouthland

0-1

1-2

100%

−16.2

47.6

small sample

—

24.9

—

PresbyterianPioneer

1-1

2-1

97%

−19.5

18.5

small sample

24.9

0.250

13.3

—

MaristPioneer

0-2

100%

−22.6

15.5

small sample

—

0.194

10.8