UC Davis
Big Sky · 2-0 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 57% of the time
Power
#8
+15.5 pts · likely #3–35
Strength of schedule
24.7
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
24.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.333
Opp. 0.0% · Opp. opp. 100.0%
Remaining SOS
34.8
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UC Davis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at East Texas A&M | W 48-10 | −4.8 | +2.4 | 0.219 | 3 | +28.3 |
| 3 | vs Southern Utah | W 23-21 | +2.6 | −2.4 | 0.275 | 2 | +6.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.225
- Wk 5: at Cal Poly · p 0.249
- Wk 6: vs Montana · p 0.601
- Wk 7: at Weber State · p 0.762
- Wk 9: at Northern Arizona · p 0.187
- Wk 10: vs Portland State · p 0.105
- Wk 11: at Idaho State · p 0.096
- Wk 12: vs Sacramento State · p 0.563
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Oregon StateFBS · L 7-55