Gardner-Webb
OVC · 1-1 vs FCS · 1-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 85% of the time
Power
#43
+5.6 pts · likely #20–73
Strength of schedule
40.0
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
51.0
1 wins
Record SOS
0.833
Opp. 100.0% · Opp. opp. 50.0%
Remaining SOS
31.6
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Gardner-Webb. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Elon | W 34-27 | +11.8 | −2.4 | 0.510 | 1 | +13.6 |
| 3 | at Tennessee State | L 25-27 | −1.6 | +2.4 | 0.290 | 2 | +0.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Robert Morris · p 0.084
- Wk 7: at Austin Peay · p 0.500
- Wk 8: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.288
- Wk 9: vs UT Martin · p 0.425
- Wk 10: at Bryant · p 0.281
- Wk 11: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.138
- Wk 12: vs Charleston Southern · p 0.175
- Wk 13: at Mercer · p 0.637
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Appalachian StateFBS · L 24-45