Tennessee State
OVC · 2-0 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 55% of the time
Power
#58
+0.3 pts · likely #33–94
Strength of schedule
24.1
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
24.1
2 wins
Record SOS
1.000
Opp. 100.0% · Opp. opp. 100.0%
Remaining SOS
27.1
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs (N) Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 24-14 | −11.3 | 0.0 | 0.085 | 4 | −0.8 |
| 3 | vs Gardner-Webb | W 27-25 | +7.5 | −2.4 | 0.397 | 2 | +5.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at UT Martin · p 0.555
- Wk 6: at Kennesaw State · p 0.388
- Wk 7: vs Norfolk State · p 0.109
- Wk 9: vs Lindenwood · p 0.101
- Wk 10: at Charleston Southern · p 0.272
- Wk 11: at Eastern Illinois · p 0.395
- Wk 12: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.079
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Notre DameFBS · L 3-56