Dayton
Pioneer · 0-1 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#115
−11.3 pts · likely #73–124
Strength of schedule
41.3
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.500
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 50.0%
Remaining SOS
12.8
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (1)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dayton. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Illinois State | L 0-41 | +3.3 | +2.4 | 0.413 | 2 | −25.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: at San Diego · p 0.177
- Wk 5: vs St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.104
- Wk 6: at Morehead State · p 0.094
- Wk 7: vs Presbyterian · p 0.017
- Wk 8: vs Butler · p 0.223
- Wk 10: at Valparaiso · p 0.102
- Wk 11: vs Marist · p 0.010
- Wk 12: at Davidson · p 0.297
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Central State (OH)DII · W 62-24
- Wk 3: vs TaylorNon-NCAA · W 52-20