Chattanooga
Southern · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
#11
A #25-level team matches it 91% of the time
Power
#40
+6.8 pts · likely #16–67
Strength of schedule
19.3
#13 of 128
Strength of victory
17.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.296
Opp. 11.1% · Opp. opp. 66.7%
Remaining SOS
39.6
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Chattanooga. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at North Alabama | L 27-41 | −3.8 | +2.4 | 0.240 | 3 | −11.3 |
| 2 | vs Kennesaw State | W 27-20 | +2.6 | −2.4 | 0.275 | 2 | +7.0 |
| 3 | vs The Citadel | W 48-3 | −10.8 | −2.4 | 0.066 | 4 | +18.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: at Samford · p 0.392
- Wk 5: at Wofford · p 0.142
- Wk 6: vs Western Carolina · p 0.411
- Wk 7: at Mercer · p 0.637
- Wk 8: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.089
- Wk 9: at VMI · p 0.155
- Wk 10: vs Furman · p 0.558
- Wk 13: at Austin Peay · p 0.500
- Wk 14: at Furman · p 0.682