Monmouth
CAA · 1-1 vs FCS · 1-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 82% of the time
Power
#46
+4.5 pts · likely #21–78
Strength of schedule
42.7
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
44.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.694
Opp. 75.0% · Opp. opp. 58.3%
Remaining SOS
37.0
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Monmouth. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: at Lafayette · p 0.318
- Wk 5: vs Lehigh · p 0.077
- Wk 7: vs Hampton · p 0.120
- Wk 8: at Elon · p 0.562
- Wk 9: at William & Mary · p 0.643
- Wk 10: vs Stony Brook · p 0.088
- Wk 11: vs New Hampshire · p 0.594
- Wk 12: at UAlbany · p 0.557
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Florida AtlanticFBS · L 20-42