North Dakota State
MVFC · 3-0 vs FCS · 3-0 overall
Strength of record
#2
A #25-level team matches it 38% of the time
Power
#2
+20.2 pts · likely #1–21
Strength of schedule
27.2
#10 of 128
Strength of victory
27.2
#2
Record SOS
0.667
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 100.0%
Remaining SOS
46.6
12 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Eastern Washington | W 35-10 | +2.1 | 0.0 | 0.320 | 2 | +25.4 |
| 2 | vs Maine | W 44-7 | −3.8 | −2.4 | 0.151 | 3 | +26.6 |
| 3 | vs Central Arkansas | W 49-31 | +5.6 | −2.4 | 0.346 | 2 | +20.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs South Dakota · p 0.360
- Wk 6: at Missouri State · p 0.418
- Wk 7: at North Dakota · p 0.579
- Wk 8: vs Western Illinois · p 0.069
- Wk 9: vs Murray State · p 0.146
- Wk 10: at South Dakota State · p 0.826
- Wk 11: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.592
- Wk 12: at Northern Iowa · p 0.531
- Wk 13: vs Drake · p 0.047
- Wk 14: at Montana State · p 0.813
- Wk 15: at South Dakota · p 0.488
- Wk 16: at Montana · p 0.720