Mercer
Southern · 2-0 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 69% of the time
Power
#19
+11.7 pts · likely #6–50
Strength of schedule
16.1
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
16.1
2 wins
Record SOS
0.736
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 87.5%
Remaining SOS
34.3
10 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) North Alabama | W 17-7 | +0.2 | 0.0 | 0.275 | 2 | +10.3 |
| 2 | vs Morehead State | W 48-22 | −13.3 | −2.4 | 0.046 | 4 | +10.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: at Furman · p 0.682
- Wk 5: vs VMI · p 0.090
- Wk 6: at East Tennessee State · p 0.153
- Wk 7: vs Chattanooga · p 0.366
- Wk 8: vs Wofford · p 0.081
- Wk 9: at Western Carolina · p 0.541
- Wk 10: at The Citadel · p 0.072
- Wk 11: vs Samford · p 0.274
- Wk 13: vs Gardner-Webb · p 0.349
- Wk 14: at South Dakota State · p 0.826
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Ole MissFBS · L 7-73