William & Mary
CAA · 3-0 vs FCS · 3-0 overall
Strength of record
#1
A #25-level team matches it 22% of the time
Power
#18
+11.8 pts · likely #8–47
Strength of schedule
32.9
#6 of 128
Strength of victory
32.9
#1
Record SOS
0.574
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 72.2%
Remaining SOS
33.6
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Campbell | W 34-24 | +14.2 | +2.4 | 0.697 | 1 | +23.3 |
| 2 | vs Wofford | W 23-6 | −11.7 | −2.4 | 0.059 | 4 | +5.3 |
| 3 | at Charleston Southern | W 15-7 | −4.3 | +2.4 | 0.230 | 3 | +8.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs Maine · p 0.118
- Wk 5: at Elon · p 0.562
- Wk 8: vs Towson · p 0.198
- Wk 9: vs Monmouth · p 0.324
- Wk 10: at UAlbany · p 0.557
- Wk 11: at Hampton · p 0.198
- Wk 12: vs Richmond · p 0.395