Abilene Christian
UAC · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
#3
A #25-level team matches it 68% of the time
Power
#22
+10.6 pts · likely #9–51
Strength of schedule
39.1
#3 of 128
Strength of victory
22.9
2 wins
Record SOS
0.639
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 58.3%
Remaining SOS
39.4
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Abilene Christian. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Northern Colorado | W 31-11 | −11.5 | −2.4 | 0.060 | 4 | +7.2 |
| 2 | at Prairie View A&M | W 45-16 | +2.7 | +2.4 | 0.397 | 2 | +27.8 |
| 3 | vs Incarnate Word | L 20-27 | +19.8 | −2.4 | 0.716 | 1 | +10.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: at Central Arkansas · p 0.466
- Wk 7: vs North Alabama · p 0.229
- Wk 8: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.635
- Wk 9: at Southern Utah · p 0.515
- Wk 10: vs Utah Tech · p 0.130
- Wk 11: vs Tarleton State · p 0.390