Wagner
NEC · 1-1 vs FCS · 1-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#123
−13.4 pts · likely #88–125
Strength of schedule
26.0
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
15.5
1 wins
Record SOS
0.250
Opp. 0.0% · Opp. opp. 75.0%
Remaining SOS
16.2
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Wagner. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Fordham | L 16-46 | +1.5 | +2.4 | 0.365 | 2 | −22.6 |
| 3 | at Sacred Heart | W 17-10 | −8.4 | +2.4 | 0.155 | 3 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs Merrimack · p 0.156
- Wk 7: at Saint Francis · p 0.275
- Wk 8: vs Central Connecticut State · p 0.087
- Wk 9: vs Stonehill · p 0.113
- Wk 10: vs Duquesne · p 0.170
- Wk 11: at Long Island · p 0.172
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at NavyFBS · L 0-24