Tarleton State
UAC · 2-0 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 60% of the time
Power
#38
+7.0 pts · likely #15–67
Strength of schedule
22.4
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
22.4
2 wins
Record SOS
0.431
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 62.5%
Remaining SOS
40.7
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at McNeese | W 52-34 | −8.3 | +2.4 | 0.157 | 3 | +10.9 |
| 2 | vs North Alabama | W 52-31 | +3.3 | −2.4 | 0.291 | 2 | +18.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.420
- Wk 6: vs Southern Utah · p 0.386
- Wk 7: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.408
- Wk 8: vs Morehead State · p 0.050
- Wk 9: at Central Arkansas · p 0.466
- Wk 10: vs Stephen F. Austin · p 0.507
- Wk 11: at Abilene Christian · p 0.613
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Texas TechFBS · L 3-41