Computer ratings · FCS vs FCS games only

FCS College Football Ratings & Strength of Schedule

2024 Week 3 · through Saturday, September 14

Early-season ratings are provisional: too few FCS games connect the league yet, so last season still carries real weight.

Season

Week

How this week's numbers compare

Power (0 = average team): #1 +28.4 · #10 +13.7 · middle −0.0
SOS (higher is harder): hardest 77.7 · #10 57.2 · middle 31.4 · easiest 3.7
SOR (lower is better): #1 30% · #25 —

Power is in points: a +20 team would be favored by about 20 over an average FCS team on a neutral field, and by 10 over a +10 team. SOS, SOR, and SOV are measured against a #25-level team: one as strong as the 25th-best team in these ratings usually is at season's end (+9.0 points). That comes from these ratings, not the poll. An SOS of 50 means a #25-level team would lose about half of these games; above 50, the opponents were, on average, better than that.

What these columns mean

#: Rank in the column you sorted by (strength of record unless you pick another). "—" means too few FCS games to rank.
vs FCS: Record against FCS teams. These are the only games any number here counts.
All games: Record in every game, including opponents outside FCS. For reference only.
SOR: Strength of record: how often a #25-level team would do at least this well against this exact schedule. Lower is harder to achieve.
Power: Points better than an average FCS team on a neutral field. The difference between two teams is the expected margin.
SOS: Strength of schedule, 0–100: on average, how often a #25-level team would lose each of these games. Higher is harder.
SOS rank: Rank by SOS. Teams need 3 FCS games to be ranked.
SOV: Strength of victory: SOS counting only the games the team won.
Record SOS: NCAA RPI-style schedule strength from records only: 2/3 opponents' win % plus 1/3 their opponents' win %.

Only games between two FCS teams count. Method v1 · 107 FCS games · run 6c5ce4e8aaf6

Team

vs FCS

All games

SOS rank

VillanovaCAA

3-0

30%

+15.0

32.2

0.556

37.2

MercerSouthern

3-0

37%

+13.8

25.4

—

34.2

WoffordSouthern

2-1

45%

+2.1

53.6

55.4

0.833

33.6

MontanaBig Sky

2-1

73%

+15.5

35.3

22.3

0.861

38.8

McNeeseSouthland

2-1

2-2

77%

−2.8

32.9

20.3

0.556

25.1

Holy CrossPatriot

1-2

91%

+13.0

46.4

31.0

0.611

31.0

Incarnate WordSouthland

1-2

93%

+8.9

57.2

12.0

0.472

32.6

West GeorgiaUAC

1-2

95%

−5.0

36.8

31.4

0.750

34.2

Tennessee StateOVC

2-1

96%

−6.7

24.6

2.9

0.556

30.2

MonmouthCAA

1-2

97%

+6.3

33.6

26.0

0.454

42.7

MaineCAA

1-2

97%

−7.4

39.0

15.4

0.361

50.4

Eastern WashingtonBig Sky

1-2

97%

+3.4

32.8

49.0

0.500

49.3

GeorgetownPatriot

2-1

98%

−5.6

8.2

9.0

0.194

28.9

Charleston SouthernOVC

1-2

99%

−8.3

34.8

63.7

0.306

26.3

Youngstown StateMVFC

1-2

99%

+9.3

31.7

5.1

0.500

52.6

North AlabamaUAC

0-3

0-4

100%

−4.7

44.4

—

0.556

37.2

Mississippi Valley StateSWAC

0-3

100%

−19.6

22.1

—

0.444

20.7

—

South Dakota StateMVFC

1-0

2-1

55%

+28.4

44.8

small sample

44.8

0.500

53.3

—

IdahoBig Sky

1-0

2-1

52%

+18.8

48.0

small sample

48.0

0.667

38.4

—

DelawareCAA

2-0

62%

+18.3

21.5

small sample

21.5

0.250

38.3

—

North Dakota StateMVFC

2-0

2-1

69%

+17.3

17.2

small sample

17.2

0.917

54.5

—

Montana StateBig Sky

2-0

3-0

78%

+15.1

11.6

small sample

11.6

0.389

44.0

—

Central ArkansasUAC

2-0

2-1

55%

+14.9

24.9

small sample

24.9

0.250

27.4

—

Southern IllinoisMVFC

2-0

2-1

34%

+13.7

41.6

small sample

41.6

0.417

49.3

—

New HampshireCAA

2-0

2-1

32%

+13.6

35.2

small sample

35.2

0.444

40.7

—

North DakotaMVFC

2-0

2-1

29%

+12.8

40.3

small sample

40.3

1.000

46.1

—

Sacramento StateBig Sky

1-0

1-2

71%

+12.6

29.3

small sample

29.3

—

33.2

—

William & MaryCAA

2-0

2-1

57%

+10.6

23.2

small sample

23.2

0.583

32.9

—

South DakotaMVFC

0-0

1-1

—

+10.6

—

50.3

—

HarvardIvy

0-0

—

+10.4

—

35.9

—

LafayettePatriot

2-0

2-1

50%

+10.3

25.3

small sample

25.3

0.375

22.7

—

Northern ArizonaBig Sky

1-0

2-1

80%

+9.9

20.5

small sample

20.5

0.333

40.8

—

Rhode IslandCAA

2-0

2-1

25%

+9.6

49.3

small sample

49.3

0.778

38.2

—

ElonCAA

1-1

1-2

86%

+9.1

38.4

small sample

46.4

0.417

36.1

—

YaleIvy

0-0

—

+8.4

—

36.4

—

Southeast Missouri StateOVC

2-0

2-1

45%

+8.4

32.1

small sample

32.1

0.528

24.2

—

UC DavisBig Sky

2-0

2-1

39%

+7.9

32.4

small sample

32.4

0.333

41.1

—

Eastern KentuckyUAC

1-0

1-2

84%

+7.9

16.4

small sample

16.4

0.667

35.4

—

RichmondCAA

1-1

1-2

97%

+7.9

18.2

small sample

16.9

0.556

35.7

—

UT MartinOVC

1-1

1-2

92%

+7.9

34.1

small sample

14.7

0.528

30.0

—

Northern IowaMVFC

2-0

2-1

73%

+7.8

13.9

small sample

13.9

0.250

54.9

—

Southern UtahUAC

0-1

1-2

100%

+7.7

37.7

small sample

—

0.667

31.9

—

Western CarolinaSouthern

1-1

1-2

84%

+7.3

45.3

small sample

66.2

0.583

36.2

—

Missouri StateMVFC

1-1

1-2

95%

+7.2

40.7

small sample

6.9

0.417

51.8

—

Tarleton StateUAC

2-0

2-1

70%

+7.2

16.5

small sample

16.5

0.917

34.5

—

Weber StateBig Sky

1-1

1-2

94%

+7.1

23.9

small sample

27.1

0.750

36.4

—

ChattanoogaSouthern

0-1

0-3

100%

+6.7

57.2

small sample

—

27.0

—

Illinois StateMVFC

2-0

2-1

77%

+6.4

11.8

small sample

11.8

0.278

46.7

—

Jackson StateSWAC

1-0

2-1

88%

+5.7

12.3

small sample

12.3

0.167

18.5

—

PrincetonIvy

0-0

—

+5.6

—

37.2

—

FurmanSouthern

1-1

1-2

100%

+5.5

3.7

small sample

2.7

0.056

36.0

—

UAlbanyCAA

1-1

1-2

92%

+5.4

38.0

small sample

12.1

0.250

38.6

—

TowsonCAA

1-1

1-2

82%

+5.3

50.1

small sample

23.1

0.833

37.1

—

DartmouthIvy

0-0

—

+5.3

—

32.1

—

PennIvy

0-0

—

+5.1

—

36.2

—

CampbellCAA

1-1

1-2

68%

+4.8

56.9

small sample

62.2

0.875

36.1

—

Gardner-WebbOVC

0-1

0-3

100%

+3.7

25.8

small sample

—

0.667

21.9

—

DuquesneNEC

1-0

1-2

36%

+3.4

64.0

small sample

64.0

0.500

14.2

—

Texas SouthernSWAC

1-0

1-1

81%

+2.5

19.4

small sample

19.4

—

20.7

—

Abilene ChristianUAC

2-0

2-1

73%

+2.3

14.6

small sample

14.6

0.417

44.3

—

Southeastern LouisianaSouthland

1-0

1-2

66%

+2.3

33.8

small sample

33.8

0.500

31.9

—

Florida A&MSWAC

2-0

2-1

82%

+2.3

9.5

small sample

9.5

0.583

18.9

—

HamptonCAA

1-1

2-1

95%

+1.6

22.7

small sample

24.6

0.167

42.5

—

Austin PeayUAC

0-2

0-3

100%

+1.4

56.3

small sample

—

0.708

28.8

—

LehighPatriot

2-0

2-1

70%

+1.4

16.2

small sample

16.2

0.583

38.8

—

Eastern IllinoisOVC

1-0

1-2

84%

+1.2

16.4

small sample

16.4

1.000

27.6

—

ButlerPioneer

1-0

3-0

67%

+0.9

32.9

small sample

32.9

0.667

11.0

—

North Carolina CentralMEAC

1-1

1-2

92%

+0.5

28.6

small sample

25.5

0.083

18.9

—

Morgan StateMEAC

1-1

1-2

81%

+0.4

43.3

small sample

39.9

0.500

17.6

—

ColumbiaIvy

0-0

—

+0.3

—

34.0

—

East Tennessee StateSouthern

0-1

1-2

100%

+0.2

77.7

small sample

—

1.000

35.3

—

DrakePioneer

1-0

53%

+0.1

46.9

small sample

46.9

0.500

19.1

—

MerrimackFCS Indep.

1-0

1-2

79%

−0.0

21.4

small sample

21.4

0.667

18.9

—

SamfordSouthern

1-1

1-2

97%

−0.2

17.2

small sample

19.7

0.167

30.1

—

Murray StateMVFC

1-1

1-2

99%

−0.2

13.0

small sample

3.6

0.250

55.4

—

Stephen F. AustinSouthland

0-1

1-2

100%

−0.8

23.3

small sample

—

0.500

22.5

—

BrownIvy

0-0

—

−1.1

—

36.3

—

Robert MorrisNEC

1-0

1-2

84%

−1.3

15.6

small sample

15.6

—

20.5

—

Central Connecticut StateNEC

2-0

2-1

64%

−1.4

20.3

small sample

20.3

0.250

27.4

—

LamarSouthland

2-0

2-1

50%

−1.8

25.2

small sample

25.2

0.583

30.0

—

Alabama StateSWAC

0-2

1-2

100%

−2.1

26.5

small sample

—

0.000

18.7

—

Nicholls StateSouthland

0-1

0-3

100%

−2.4

50.9

small sample

—

20.9

—

Alcorn StateSWAC

0-0

1-2

—

−2.5

—

19.2

—

St. Thomas (MN)Pioneer

0-1

1-2

100%

−2.6

43.4

small sample

—

0.667

12.1

—

BryantCAA

0-2

1-2

100%

−2.6

60.6

small sample

—

0.444

40.0

—

HowardMEAC

1-0

2-1

95%

−3.0

5.2

small sample

5.2

—

21.8

—

Grambling StateSWAC

1-0

2-1

87%

−3.3

13.3

small sample

13.3

0.333

18.9

—

Stony BrookCAA

2-0

2-1

79%

−3.6

11.3

small sample

11.3

0.333

43.3

—

CornellIvy

0-0

—

−3.6

—

34.2

—

Indiana StateMVFC

1-1

1-2

96%

−3.7

22.5

small sample

10.8

0.833

44.6

—

Tennessee TechOVC

0-0

0-2

—

−3.9

—

25.7

—

South Carolina StateMEAC

1-1

1-2

96%

−4.2

25.0

small sample

10.3

0.792

20.6

—

Long IslandNEC

0-2

0-3

100%

−4.5

39.2

small sample

—

0.417

27.5

—

Portland StateBig Sky

0-1

0-2

100%

−4.6

37.3

small sample

—

0.333

48.5

—

ColgatePatriot

0-2

0-3

100%

−5.2

35.6

small sample

—

0.472

30.8

—

Sacred HeartFCS Indep.

1-1

2-1

100%

−5.8

14.1

small sample

27.2

0.417

28.5

—

Idaho StateBig Sky

0-1

1-2

100%

−5.9

61.9

small sample

—

1.000

44.6

—

Alabama A&MSWAC

0-0

2-1

—

−6.4

—

19.8

—

BucknellPatriot

1-1

1-2

98%

−6.5

14.3

small sample

10.6

0.250

28.3

—

Saint FrancisNEC

0-2

1-2

100%

−6.9

14.3

small sample

—

0.333

15.5

—

SouthernSWAC

0-2

1-2

100%

−7.2

31.4

small sample

—

0.417

22.1

—

Northern ColoradoBig Sky

0-2

0-3

100%

−7.5

43.3

small sample

—

0.458

41.2

—

Houston ChristianSouthland

0-1

1-2

100%

−7.7

36.1

small sample

—

1.000

23.9

—

North Carolina A&TCAA

0-1

1-2

100%

−7.8

65.6

small sample

—

0.667

43.2

—

San DiegoPioneer

1-0

2-0

93%

−8.2

6.9

small sample

6.9

—

17.6

—

FordhamPatriot

0-2

0-3

100%

−8.2

14.3

small sample

—

0.667

34.3

—

Prairie View A&MSWAC

1-1

1-2

98%

−8.5

14.5

small sample

8.7

—

19.3

—

Bethune-CookmanSWAC

0-1

0-3

100%

−8.6

52.0

small sample

—

22.4

—

Utah TechUAC

0-2

0-3

100%

−8.9

46.4

small sample

—

0.708

39.5

—

East Texas A&MSouthland

0-2

0-3

100%

−9.0

37.2

small sample

—

0.667

26.2

—

DaytonPioneer

1-1

97%

−9.1

17.9

small sample

15.7

0.250

11.6

—

LindenwoodOVC

0-2

0-3

100%

−9.4

58.6

small sample

—

0.375

26.5

—

MercyhurstNEC

0-2

1-2

100%

−10.3

23.2

small sample

—

33.7

—

Norfolk StateMEAC

0-2

1-3

100%

−10.5

27.5

small sample

—

0.417

20.7

—

The CitadelSouthern

1-1

2-1

97%

−11.0

17.0

small sample

17.3

0.389

35.6

—

Cal PolyBig Sky

0-1

1-2

100%

−11.5

14.3

small sample

—

46.8

—

DavidsonPioneer

0-1

2-1

100%

−11.6

13.0

small sample

—

0.333

9.0

—

VMISouthern

0-2

0-3

100%

−12.1

30.9

small sample

—

0.417

33.2

—

Morehead StatePioneer

0-1

2-1

100%

−12.2

67.4

small sample

—

0.667

19.6

—

Western IllinoisOVC

0-1

0-3

100%

−12.8

51.7

small sample

—

0.667

27.2

—

WagnerNEC

1-1

2-1

98%

−13.3

15.8

small sample

11.2

0.833

20.7

—

Northwestern StateSouthland

0-1

0-3

100%

−14.0

8.2

small sample

—

27.7

—

ValparaisoPioneer

0-2

1-2

100%

−15.7

49.8

small sample

—

0.417

14.2

—

StonehillNEC

0-2

100%

−16.1

39.3

small sample

—

0.708

25.1

—

PresbyterianPioneer

0-1

2-1

100%

−16.2

65.6

small sample

—

14.3

—

Delaware StateMEAC

1-1

1-2

100%

−18.5

16.0

small sample

30.4

0.583

25.8

—

Arkansas-Pine BluffSWAC

0-1

1-2

100%

−18.7

14.0

small sample

—

0.500

25.0

—

MaristPioneer

0-2

100%

−20.9

33.5

small sample

—

0.542

12.4

—

StetsonPioneer

0-1

2-1

100%

−21.0

38.0

small sample

—

0.000

21.4