Wagner
NEC · 1-1 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#120
−13.3 pts · likely #87–125
Strength of schedule
15.8
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
11.2
1 wins
Record SOS
0.833
Opp. 100.0% · Opp. opp. 50.0%
Remaining SOS
20.7
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Wagner. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Lehigh | L 13-49 | −5.1 | +1.8 | 0.203 | 3 | −31.8 |
| 3 | at Delaware State | W 30-7 | −10.7 | +1.8 | 0.112 | 3 | +6.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs Robert Morris · p 0.205
- Wk 6: at Stonehill · p 0.056
- Wk 7: vs Columbia · p 0.237
- Wk 8: vs Saint Francis · p 0.113
- Wk 10: at Central Connecticut State · p 0.286
- Wk 12: at Duquesne · p 0.399
- Wk 13: vs Long Island · p 0.152
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 46-7