William & Mary
CAA · 2-0 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 57% of the time
Power
#15
+10.6 pts · likely #8–55
Strength of schedule
23.2
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
23.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.583
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 75.0%
Remaining SOS
32.9
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs Furman · p 0.351
- Wk 5: vs Hampton · p 0.266
- Wk 6: at Towson · p 0.452
- Wk 8: vs Campbell · p 0.347
- Wk 9: at Stony Brook · p 0.235
- Wk 10: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.156
- Wk 11: vs Elon · p 0.459
- Wk 12: vs Bryant · p 0.177
- Wk 13: at Richmond · p 0.516
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Coastal CarolinaFBS · L 21-40