Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 1-0 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 80% of the time
Power
#19
+9.9 pts · likely #7–62
Strength of schedule
20.5
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
20.5
1 wins
Record SOS
0.333
Opp. 0.0% · Opp. opp. 100.0%
Remaining SOS
40.8
10 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (1)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Utah Tech | W 45-17 | −5.0 | +1.8 | 0.205 | 3 | +20.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: at Incarnate Word · p 0.549
- Wk 5: vs Sacramento State · p 0.549
- Wk 6: at Idaho · p 0.784
- Wk 7: at Montana · p 0.712
- Wk 8: vs Idaho State · p 0.129
- Wk 10: vs Weber State · p 0.405
- Wk 11: at Cal Poly · p 0.103
- Wk 12: at Northern Colorado · p 0.159
- Wk 13: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.313
- Wk 14: at Abilene Christian · p 0.374
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Lincoln (CA)DII · W 66-6
- Wk 2: at ArizonaFBS · L 10-22