Southern Illinois
MVFC · 2-0 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 34% of the time
Power
#10
+13.7 pts · likely #4–39
Strength of schedule
41.6
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
41.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.417
Opp. 25.0% · Opp. opp. 75.0%
Remaining SOS
49.3
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Austin Peay | W 31-17 | +2.6 | +1.8 | 0.379 | 2 | +17.2 |
| 3 | vs Incarnate Word | W 35-28 | +9.1 | −1.8 | 0.454 | 2 | +14.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.441
- Wk 5: at South Dakota · p 0.591
- Wk 6: vs Illinois State · p 0.381
- Wk 7: vs North Dakota State · p 0.675
- Wk 9: at Indiana State · p 0.231
- Wk 10: at Missouri State · p 0.505
- Wk 11: vs Youngstown State · p 0.461
- Wk 12: at South Dakota State · p 0.926
- Wk 13: vs Murray State · p 0.225
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at BYUFBS · L 13-41