Merrimack
FCS Indep. · 1-0 vs FCS · 1-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 79% of the time
Power
#65
−0.0 pts · likely #29–101
Strength of schedule
21.4
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
21.4
1 wins
Record SOS
0.667
Opp. 100.0% · Opp. opp. 0.0%
Remaining SOS
18.9
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (1)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Merrimack. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Bucknell | W 31-21 | −4.5 | +1.8 | 0.214 | 3 | +5.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs Maine · p 0.109
- Wk 5: vs Dartmouth · p 0.355
- Wk 7: at Morgan State · p 0.327
- Wk 8: vs Stonehill · p 0.033
- Wk 9: vs Colgate · p 0.136
- Wk 10: at Robert Morris · p 0.283
- Wk 12: vs Sacred Heart · p 0.126
- Wk 13: at Fordham · p 0.145
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Air ForceFBS · L 6-21
- Wk 2: at UConnFBS · L 17-63