Montana State
Big Sky · 2-0 vs FCS · 3-0 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 78% of the time
Power
#6
+15.1 pts · likely #3–39
Strength of schedule
11.6
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
11.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.389
Opp. 25.0% · Opp. opp. 66.7%
Remaining SOS
44.0
13 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs Mercyhurst · p 0.077
- Wk 5: at Idaho State · p 0.188
- Wk 6: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.107
- Wk 7: vs Idaho · p 0.705
- Wk 8: at Portland State · p 0.209
- Wk 10: at Eastern Washington · p 0.406
- Wk 11: vs Sacramento State · p 0.549
- Wk 12: at UC Davis · p 0.519
- Wk 13: vs Montana · p 0.623
- Wk 15: vs UT Martin · p 0.422
- Wk 16: vs Idaho · p 0.705
- Wk 17: vs (N) North Dakota State · p 0.718
- Wk 17: vs South Dakota · p 0.493
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at New MexicoFBS · W 35-31