North Dakota
MVFC · 2-0 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 29% of the time
Power
#13
+12.8 pts · likely #5–47
Strength of schedule
40.3
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
40.3
2 wins
Record SOS
1.000
Opp. 100.0% · Opp. opp. 100.0%
Remaining SOS
46.1
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Montana | W 27-24 | +16.5 | −1.8 | 0.651 | 1 | +16.7 |
| 3 | vs Idaho State | W 52-28 | −4.1 | −1.8 | 0.155 | 3 | +16.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs San Diego · p 0.099
- Wk 5: vs Murray State · p 0.225
- Wk 6: at North Dakota State · p 0.758
- Wk 8: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.419
- Wk 9: at Youngstown State · p 0.559
- Wk 10: at Indiana State · p 0.231
- Wk 11: vs South Dakota State · p 0.884
- Wk 12: vs South Dakota · p 0.493
- Wk 13: at Illinois State · p 0.478
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Iowa StateFBS · L 3-21