Montana
Big Sky · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
#4
A #25-level team matches it 73% of the time
Power
#5
+15.5 pts · likely #3–32
Strength of schedule
35.3
#7 of 129
Strength of victory
22.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.861
Opp. 100.0% · Opp. opp. 58.3%
Remaining SOS
38.8
11 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Missouri State | W 29-24 | +5.5 | −1.8 | 0.360 | 2 | +10.4 |
| 2 | at North Dakota | L 24-27 | +11.5 | +1.8 | 0.615 | 1 | +11.6 |
| 3 | vs Morehead State | W 59-2 | −9.4 | −1.8 | 0.085 | 4 | +21.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs Western Carolina · p 0.405
- Wk 5: at Eastern Washington · p 0.406
- Wk 6: vs Weber State · p 0.405
- Wk 7: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.475
- Wk 9: at Northern Colorado · p 0.159
- Wk 10: at Cal Poly · p 0.103
- Wk 11: vs UC Davis · p 0.421
- Wk 12: vs Portland State · p 0.145
- Wk 13: at Montana State · p 0.703
- Wk 14: vs Tennessee State · p 0.118
- Wk 15: at South Dakota State · p 0.926