Missouri State
MVFC · 1-1 vs FCS · 1-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#33
+7.2 pts · likely #13–69
Strength of schedule
40.7
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
6.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.417
Opp. 25.0% · Opp. opp. 75.0%
Remaining SOS
51.8
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Montana | L 24-29 | +16.8 | +1.8 | 0.744 | 1 | +12.3 |
| 3 | vs Lindenwood | W 28-14 | −11.0 | −1.8 | 0.069 | 4 | +2.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: at UT Martin · p 0.520
- Wk 5: vs Youngstown State · p 0.461
- Wk 7: at Illinois State · p 0.478
- Wk 8: vs Indiana State · p 0.162
- Wk 9: at Northern Iowa · p 0.517
- Wk 10: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.579
- Wk 11: at Murray State · p 0.306
- Wk 12: at North Dakota State · p 0.758
- Wk 13: vs South Dakota State · p 0.884
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Ball StateFBS · L 34-42