The Citadel
Southern · 1-1 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#114
−11.0 pts · likely #76–123
Strength of schedule
17.0
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
17.3
1 wins
Record SOS
0.389
Opp. 25.0% · Opp. opp. 66.7%
Remaining SOS
35.6
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against The Citadel. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Charleston Southern | W 22-21 | −6.7 | +1.8 | 0.173 | 3 | −5.5 |
| 2 | vs South Carolina State | L 20-23 | −3.5 | −1.8 | 0.166 | 3 | −9.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: at Mercer · p 0.678
- Wk 5: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.237
- Wk 6: vs Furman · p 0.351
- Wk 7: at Western Carolina · p 0.503
- Wk 8: at VMI · p 0.093
- Wk 9: vs Samford · p 0.220
- Wk 11: vs Chattanooga · p 0.391
- Wk 12: at Wofford · p 0.373
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs North GreenvilleDII · W 54-0