Mercer
Southern · 3-0 vs FCS · 3-0 overall
Strength of record
#2
A #25-level team matches it 37% of the time
Power
#9
+13.8 pts · likely #4–38
Strength of schedule
25.4
#14 of 129
Strength of victory
25.4
#2
Record SOS
—
Remaining SOS
34.2
10 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Presbyterian | W 63-10 | −14.9 | −1.8 | 0.041 | 4 | +17.0 |
| 2 | at Bethune-Cookman | W 31-2 | −4.7 | +1.8 | 0.210 | 3 | +22.2 |
| 3 | at Chattanooga | W 10-3 | +7.5 | +1.8 | 0.510 | 1 | +15.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs The Citadel · p 0.071
- Wk 5: at Wofford · p 0.373
- Wk 7: vs Princeton · p 0.363
- Wk 8: at Samford · p 0.300
- Wk 9: vs Western Carolina · p 0.405
- Wk 10: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.237
- Wk 11: at VMI · p 0.093
- Wk 13: vs Furman · p 0.351
- Wk 15: vs Rhode Island · p 0.471
- Wk 16: at North Dakota State · p 0.758