Computer ratings · FCS vs FCS games only

FCS College Football Ratings & Strength of Schedule

2023 Week 14 · through Saturday, December 2

Season

Week

How this week's numbers compare

Power (0 = average team): #1 +31.3 · #10 +12.9 · middle −0.2
SOS (higher is harder): hardest 55.4 · #10 45.9 · middle 32.9 · easiest 9.6
SOR (lower is better): #1 <0.1% · #25 50%

Power is in points: a +20 team would be favored by about 20 over an average FCS team on a neutral field, and by 10 over a +10 team. SOS, SOR, and SOV are measured against a #25-level team: one as strong as the 25th-best team in these ratings usually is at season's end (+9.0 points). That comes from these ratings, not the poll. An SOS of 50 means a #25-level team would lose about half of these games; above 50, the opponents were, on average, better than that.

What these columns mean

#: Rank in the column you sorted by (strength of record unless you pick another). "—" means too few FCS games to rank.
vs FCS: Record against FCS teams. These are the only games any number here counts.
All games: Record in every game, including opponents outside FCS. For reference only.
SOR: Strength of record: how often a #25-level team would do at least this well against this exact schedule. Lower is harder to achieve.
Power: Points better than an average FCS team on a neutral field. The difference between two teams is the expected margin.
SOS: Strength of schedule, 0–100: on average, how often a #25-level team would lose each of these games. Higher is harder.
SOS rank: Rank by SOS. Teams need 3 FCS games to be ranked.
SOV: Strength of victory: SOS counting only the games the team won.
Record SOS: NCAA RPI-style schedule strength from records only: 2/3 opponents' win % plus 1/3 their opponents' win %.

Only games between two FCS teams count. Method v1 · 621 FCS games · run ef9f27fd02d0

Team

vs FCS

All games

SOS rank

123

0-10

0-11

100%

−18.3

48.4

—

0.501

—

123

The CitadelSouthern

0-10

0-11

100%

−15.1

32.8

—

0.497

—

123

Stony BrookCAA

0-9

0-10

100%

−13.1

49.8

—

0.565

—

123

Northwestern StateSouthland

0-4

0-6

100%

−13.4

23.3

100

—

0.435

—

123

McNeeseSouthland

0-9

0-10

100%

−13.9

29.2

—

0.501

—

123

Delaware StateMEAC

0-7

1-10

100%

−18.3

25.3

—

0.457

—

121

Northern ColoradoBig Sky

0-10

0-11

100%

−10.3

41.1

—

0.520

—

121

Kennesaw StateFCS Indep.

0-5

3-6

100%

−3.3

31.9

—

0.504

—

120

StetsonPioneer

1-8

3-8

100%

−20.1

19.6

114

5.8

0.458

—

119

Arkansas-Pine BluffSWAC

1-8

2-9

100%

−19.8

18.9

116

35.8

0.431

—

118

DaytonPioneer

2-7

4-7

100%

−10.0

17.1

122

15.3

0.416

—

117

Central Connecticut StateNEC

2-7

3-8

100%

−14.6

14.3

124

4.5

0.383

—

116

ValparaisoPioneer

2-7

3-8

100%

−11.6

19.9

112

3.4

0.451

—

115

Mississippi Valley StateSWAC

1-8

1-10

100%

−14.1

25.3

1.7

0.510

—

114

PresbyterianPioneer

3-7

4-7

100%

−16.7

13.9

125

12.2

0.376

—

113

Sacred HeartNEC

2-8

2-9

100%

−11.7

22.3

103

18.0

0.460

—

112

MaristPioneer

4-7

100%

−18.3

13.2

126

6.8

0.404

—

111

San DiegoPioneer

4-6

4-7

100%

−8.1

11.4

127

5.4

0.410

—

110

East Texas A&MSouthland

1-8

1-9

100%

−13.0

31.6

5.9

0.461

—

109

WoffordSouthern

2-8

2-9

100%

−6.1

32.5

32.0

0.489

—

108

Morehead StatePioneer

3-7

4-7

100%

−10.7

21.7

106

10.8

0.488

—

107

Indiana StateMVFC

1-8

1-10

100%

−6.6

42.8

2.7

0.515

—

106

North Carolina A&TCAA

1-9

1-10

100%

−6.4

40.3

18.7

0.562

—

105

Texas SouthernSWAC

2-6

3-8

100%

−0.2

25.2

21.3

0.491

—

104

LindenwoodOVC

2-7

3-7

100%

−14.0

28.9

11.7

0.464

—

103

LehighPatriot

2-9

100%

−8.7

38.1

21.7

0.527

—

102

Bethune-CookmanSWAC

2-6

3-8

100%

−5.1

27.3

7.6

0.481

—

101

Southeastern LouisianaSouthland

3-6

3-8

100%

+2.2

23.9

7.7

0.422

—

100

Norfolk StateMEAC

3-6

3-8

100%

−8.3

22.6

102

21.7

0.437

—

WagnerNEC

3-5

4-7

100%

−16.8

17.4

121

12.8

0.412

—

MaineCAA

2-8

2-9

100%

−4.3

41.4

7.2

0.528

—

Saint FrancisNEC

4-5

4-6

100%

+0.6

17.5

120

10.5

0.433

—

East Tennessee StateSouthern

2-7

3-8

100%

−6.3

38.3

7.5

0.530

—

MerrimackNEC

4-5

5-6

100%

−2.4

18.9

117

10.3

0.422

—

Long IslandNEC

4-5

4-7

100%

−8.2

17.6

119

11.8

0.408

—

Grambling StateSWAC

4-5

5-6

100%

−2.7

16.5

123

13.7

0.434

—

Cal PolyBig Sky

2-7

3-8

100%

−13.3

40.4

8.0

0.488

—

Alabama A&MSWAC

3-5

5-6

100%

−6.8

24.8

12.1

0.463

—

Charleston SouthernOVC

3-6

4-7

100%

−7.8

30.5

11.2

0.490

—

Stephen F. AustinSouthland

3-7

3-8

100%

−0.6

35.1

12.5

0.479

—

CornellIvy

3-7

100%

−5.1

34.8

34.2

0.513

—

ColumbiaIvy

3-7

100%

−0.2

36.0

15.1

0.536

—

Tennessee TechOVC

4-6

4-7

100%

−3.6

27.2

21.1

0.477

—

ButlerPioneer

5-4

7-4

100%

+0.4

18.4

118

7.2

0.460

—

BucknellPatriot

4-6

4-7

100%

−6.4

28.7

19.2

0.503

—

Robert MorrisOVC

3-6

4-7

100%

−12.0

33.5

27.3

0.524

—

DavidsonPioneer

6-3

7-4

100%

−6.7

9.6

128

9.9

0.366

—

Murray StateMVFC

2-7

2-9

100%

−8.7

48.7

7.1

0.523

—

GeorgetownPatriot

5-6

100%

−4.8

27.0

15.5

0.480

—

StonehillNEC

5-5

100%

−8.1

21.4

107

15.7

0.432

—

South Carolina StateMEAC

4-4

5-6

99%

−4.9

20.1

110

14.1

0.427

—

SouthernSWAC

5-5

6-5

99%

−1.8

22.1

105

14.3

0.495

—

Utah TechUAC

2-8

2-9

99%

−3.4

50.4

40.1

0.534

—

North AlabamaUAC

3-7

3-8

99%

−3.0

42.4

29.3

0.575

—

FordhamPatriot

5-5

6-5

99%

+3.7

28.5

8.1

0.506

—

Tennessee StateOVC

5-4

6-5

98%

−7.2

22.7

101

17.2

0.430

—

Southeast Missouri StateOVC

4-6

4-7

98%

+3.4

36.7

24.5

0.541

—

MonmouthCAA

4-6

4-7

98%

+6.1

38.0

17.1

0.515

—

Houston ChristianSouthland

4-4

5-5

98%

−7.3

26.9

17.4

0.478

—

HamptonCAA

5-6

97%

−8.0

33.9

29.6

0.485

—

Prairie View A&MSWAC

6-5

6-6

97%

−5.1

26.9

20.3

0.518

—

Idaho StateBig Sky

3-6

3-8

97%

−5.8

45.1

26.6

0.539

—

Morgan StateMEAC

4-5

4-6

97%

−3.7

34.7

24.2

0.538

—

VMISouthern

5-5

5-6

97%

−6.9

30.5

18.7

0.503

—

HowardMEAC

5-3

6-5

94%

+0.6

22.2

104

17.5

0.474

57.4

Eastern WashingtonBig Sky

4-6

4-7

94%

+0.7

44.1

32.4

0.522

—

CampbellCAA

5-5

5-6

93%

+1.0

34.6

23.3

0.480

—

BryantOVC

6-4

6-5

92%

+6.2

26.1

21.8

0.497

—

LamarSouthland

5-4

6-5

92%

−3.3

30.9

14.0

0.470

—

Jackson StateSWAC

7-3

7-4

91%

+5.6

19.0

115

14.4

0.468

—

St. Thomas (MN)Pioneer

7-3

8-3

91%

−2.3

20.8

108

8.7

0.479

—

Illinois StateMVFC

6-5

90%

+10.1

35.2

15.6

0.468

—

PrincetonIvy

5-5

90%

+6.9

36.0

32.5

0.550

—

Alcorn StateSWAC

7-3

7-4

90%

−1.6

19.7

113

19.2

0.411

—

Missouri StateMVFC

4-6

4-7

90%

+7.4

48.5

20.0

0.539

—

SamfordSouthern

5-4

6-5

89%

+6.8

32.7

18.9

0.528

—

BrownIvy

5-5

89%

−2.7

37.6

36.1

0.522

—

DuquesneNEC

6-3

7-5

89%

−2.3

24.6

13.8

0.461

—

Portland StateBig Sky

4-4

5-6

88%

+0.4

40.4

24.9

0.485

—

Alabama StateSWAC

6-3

7-4

88%

+1.4

24.1

20.1

0.516

—

Abilene ChristianUAC

5-4

5-6

86%

+3.0

34.1

21.2

0.488

—

William & MaryCAA

6-4

6-5

82%

+7.4

32.7

23.0

0.501

—

PennIvy

6-4

81%

+5.2

33.0

29.6

0.529

—

Weber StateBig Sky

5-4

6-5

79%

+6.2

38.6

33.7

0.490

—

TowsonCAA

5-5

5-6

75%

+0.7

45.5

42.1

0.558

—

Northern ArizonaBig Sky

5-5

5-6

75%

+4.7

46.0

45.5

0.520

—

Eastern KentuckyUAC

5-4

5-6

73%

+5.8

40.4

32.3

0.545

—

DartmouthIvy

6-4

72%

+6.0

36.9

27.8

0.528

—

Nicholls StateSouthland

6-3

6-5

71%

+2.3

31.5

24.5

0.469

—

ColgatePatriot

6-4

6-5

70%

−0.9

38.2

32.0

0.552

—

Rhode IslandCAA

6-4

6-5

67%

+5.3

39.1

27.2

0.526

—

Western CarolinaSouthern

7-3

7-4

67%

+7.9

29.5

27.1

0.497

—

New HampshireCAA

6-4

6-5

63%

+11.6

40.7

33.2

0.545

—

ChattanoogaSouthern

8-4

8-5

61%

+9.0

34.3

29.1

0.507

—

DrakePioneer

8-3

8-4

61%

−4.2

29.6

11.4

0.504

—

Southern UtahUAC

5-3

6-5

60%

+11.0

39.6

33.4

0.512

—

ElonCAA

6-4

6-5

57%

+8.6

42.5

35.5

0.582

—

North Carolina CentralMEAC

8-2

9-3

57%

+5.7

23.5

20.2

0.446

—

YaleIvy

7-3

57%

+10.0

33.1

33.8

0.530

—

Eastern IllinoisOVC

8-2

8-3

56%

+0.2

23.8

18.5

0.414

—

Sacramento StateBig Sky

7-5

8-5

56%

+8.4

44.1

25.3

0.543

—

Gardner-WebbOVC

7-3

7-5

52%

+6.9

34.6

30.9

0.575

—

UC DavisBig Sky

7-3

7-4

51%

+9.2

35.2

30.4

0.502

—

Incarnate WordSouthland

7-1

8-2

50%

+9.2

20.0

111

19.5

0.405

—

RichmondCAA

9-3

9-4

49%

+8.7

29.8

29.3

0.477

—

North DakotaMVFC

7-4

7-5

47%

+8.7

42.0

29.7

0.554

—

Northern IowaMVFC

6-4

6-5

46%

+7.6

46.5

36.4

0.522

—

Southern IllinoisMVFC

7-5

8-5

44%

+12.7

47.7

30.0

0.569

—

UT MartinOVC

8-2

8-3

40%

+8.4

28.9

24.7

0.521

—

Holy CrossPatriot

7-2

7-4

38%

+12.9

32.5

27.9

0.557

—

MercerSouthern

9-3

9-4

37%

+9.3

33.4

22.6

0.537

—

Tarleton StateUAC

7-2

8-3

36%

+9.8

33.2

28.6

0.457

—

Youngstown StateMVFC

8-4

8-5

33%

+11.6

42.8

27.4

0.555

—

Central ArkansasUAC

6-3

7-4

33%

+9.1

45.9

36.8

0.572

—

DelawareCAA

9-3

9-4

27%

+13.0

37.1

28.9

0.559

—

Montana StateBig Sky

8-4

24%

+19.1

45.5

28.1

0.558

—

HarvardIvy

8-2

24%

+10.9

35.3

30.9

0.577

—

LafayettePatriot

9-2

9-3

19%

+8.2

33.7

31.3

0.505

—

Austin PeayUAC

9-2

9-3

15%

+10.0

36.4

32.8

0.511

—

IdahoBig Sky

8-2

9-3

14%

+14.5

39.3

34.3

0.516

65.7

Florida A&MSWAC

9-0

11-1

12%

+11.7

20.6

109

20.6

0.505

27.6

FurmanSouthern

10-1

10-2

8.9%

+13.0

29.7

31.4

0.484

83.6

North Dakota StateMVFC

10-3

5.5%

+20.4

45.0

38.3

0.567

76.3

UAlbanyCAA

10-1

10-3

2.7%

+17.1

38.3

35.7

0.540

84.3

VillanovaCAA

10-1

10-2

1.7%

+19.5

39.6

36.2

0.551

95.9

MontanaBig Sky

10-1

11-1

1.2%

+21.6

42.0

42.2

0.544

73.8

South DakotaMVFC

10-1

10-2

0.6%

+12.0

41.7

36.8

0.565

74.2

South Dakota StateMVFC

11-0

12-0

<0.1%

+31.3

55.4

0.663

72.2