Montana
Big Sky · 10-1 vs FCS · 11-1 overall
Strength of record
#3
A #25-level team matches it 1.2% of the time
Power
#2
+21.6 pts · likely #2–7
Strength of schedule
42.0
#21 of 128
Strength of victory
42.2
#3
Record SOS
0.544
Opp. 55.3% · Opp. opp. 52.5%
Remaining SOS
73.8
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
4-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Butler | W 35-20 | −1.5 | −2.6 | 0.188 | 3 | +12.8 |
| 2 | at Utah Tech | W 43-13 | −2.2 | +2.6 | 0.280 | 2 | +29.2 |
| 4 | at Northern Arizona | L 14-28 | +2.8 | +2.6 | 0.402 | 2 | −6.7 |
| 5 | vs Idaho State | W 28-20 | −6.8 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 15: vs Furman · p 0.529
- Wk 16: vs North Dakota State · p 0.742
- Wk 16: vs (N) South Dakota State · p 0.941
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Ferris StateDII · W 17-10