UC Davis
Big Sky · 7-3 vs FCS · 7-4 overall
Strength of record
#26
A #25-level team matches it 51% of the time
Power
#23
+9.2 pts · likely #11–47
Strength of schedule
35.2
#50 of 128
Strength of victory
30.4
#28
Record SOS
0.502
Opp. 49.7% · Opp. opp. 51.0%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UC Davis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at East Texas A&M | W 48-10 | −12.0 | +2.6 | 0.105 | 3 | +24.6 |
| 3 | vs Southern Utah | W 23-21 | +11.8 | −2.6 | 0.508 | 1 | +10.4 |
| 4 | vs Eastern Washington | L 24-27 | +0.7 | −2.6 | 0.231 | 3 | −4.9 |
| 5 | at Cal Poly | W 31-13 | −13.1 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Oregon StateFBS · L 7-55