Cal Poly
Big Sky · 2-7 vs FCS · 3-8 overall
Strength of record
#92
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#115
−13.3 pts · likely #98–124
Strength of schedule
40.4
#28 of 128
Strength of victory
8.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.488
Opp. 48.1% · Opp. opp. 50.2%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-4
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Cal Poly. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs San Diego | W 27-10 | −8.4 | −2.6 | 0.088 | 4 | +6.4 |
| 4 | at Portland State | L 21-59 | +0.3 | +2.6 | 0.338 | 2 | −32.0 |
| 5 | vs UC Davis | L 13-31 | +9.6 | −2.6 | 0.447 | 2 | −11.4 |
| 6 | vs Idaho | L 14-42 | +15.1 | −2.6 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at San José StateFBS · L 3-59
- Wk 3: vs Lincoln (CA)DII · W 41-20