Idaho FCS Team Sheet, 2023 Week 14

Idaho

Big Sky · 8-2 vs FCS · 9-3 overall

Strength of record

A #25-level team matches it 14% of the time

Power

+14.5 pts · likely #5–26

Strength of schedule

39.3

#33 of 128

Strength of victory

34.3

#13

Record SOS

0.516

Opp. 50.9% · Opp. opp. 53.0%

Remaining SOS

65.7

1 games left

Record by opponent quality

Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0

Tier 1, #25-level or better:: Would be favored over a #25-level team
Tier 2, Strong:: Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
Tier 3, Middle:: Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
Tier 4, Weak:: Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time

Counted games (10)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Idaho. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp. strength	Site	p	Tier	Game power
1	at Lamar	W 42-17	−2.6	+2.6	0.269	2	+24.3
4	vs Sacramento State	W 36-27	+9.1	−2.6	0.433	2	+14.8
5	at Eastern Washington	W 44-36	+1.7	+2.6	0.373	2	+11.3
6	at Cal Poly	W 42-14	−12.6	+2.6

Remaining FCS games

Wk 15: vs UAlbany · p 0.657

Not counted (opponent not FCS)

Wk 2: at NevadaFBS · W 33-6
Wk 3: at CaliforniaFBS · L 17-31