Southern Illinois
MVFC · 7-5 vs FCS · 8-5 overall
Strength of record
#21
A #25-level team matches it 44% of the time
Power
#11
+12.7 pts · likely #7–32
Strength of schedule
47.7
#7 of 128
Strength of victory
30.0
#29
Record SOS
0.569
Opp. 58.2% · Opp. opp. 54.3%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-5
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (12)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Austin Peay | W 49-23 | +12.8 | −2.6 | 0.535 | 1 | +33.4 |
| 3 | at Southeast Missouri State | W 26-25 | +4.2 | +2.6 | 0.439 | 2 | +7.0 |
| 5 | vs Missouri State | W 33-20 | +8.5 | −2.6 | 0.419 | 2 | +17.8 |
| 6 | at Youngstown State | L 3-31 | +10.6 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Northern IllinoisFBS · W 14-11