Southern
SWAC · 5-5 vs FCS · 6-5 overall
Strength of record
#77
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#69
−1.8 pts · likely #52–94
Strength of schedule
22.1
#105 of 128
Strength of victory
14.3
#79
Record SOS
0.495
Opp. 50.8% · Opp. opp. 46.8%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
4-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Alabama State | L 10-14 | +1.0 | +2.6 | 0.356 | 2 | −0.0 |
| 2 | vs Jackson State | L 14-27 | +4.1 | −2.6 | 0.306 | 2 | −10.0 |
| 3 | vs Alabama A&M | W 20-10 | −7.1 | −2.6 | 0.103 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 5 | at Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 27-0 | −20.2 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 7: vs Lincoln (CA)DII · W 45-18