Illinois State
MVFC · 6-5 vs FCS · 6-5 overall
Strength of record
#57
A #25-level team matches it 90% of the time
Power
#18
+10.1 pts · likely #10–43
Strength of schedule
35.2
#49 of 128
Strength of victory
15.6
#75
Record SOS
0.468
Opp. 44.4% · Opp. opp. 51.6%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Illinois State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Dayton | W 41-0 | −12.0 | −2.6 | 0.055 | 4 | +22.4 |
| 2 | at Western Illinois | W 34-18 | −18.5 | +2.6 | 0.045 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 3 | at Eastern Illinois | L 13-14 | +0.4 | +2.6 | 0.342 | 2 | +1.8 |
| 4 | vs Lindenwood | W 48-17 | −14.3 | −2.6 |