East Tennessee State
Southern · 2-7 vs FCS · 3-8 overall
Strength of record
#96
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#90
−6.3 pts · likely #67–110
Strength of schedule
38.3
#36 of 128
Strength of victory
7.5
2 wins
Record SOS
0.530
Opp. 54.4% · Opp. opp. 50.3%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-4
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Austin Peay | L 3-63 | +9.6 | +2.6 | 0.586 | 1 | −22.4 |
| 5 | at Samford | L 28-42 | +5.0 | +2.6 | 0.462 | 2 | −4.6 |
| 6 | vs Mercer | L 6-24 | +8.3 | −2.6 | 0.414 | 2 | −11.3 |
| 7 | vs Wofford | W 41-10 | −5.5 | −2.6 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Jacksonville StateFBS · L 3-49
- Wk 2: vs Carson-NewmanDII · W 42-0