Computer ratings · FCS vs FCS games only

FCS College Football Ratings & Strength of Schedule

2022 Week 3 · through Saturday, September 17

Early-season ratings are provisional: too few FCS games connect the league yet, so last season still carries real weight.

Season

Week

How this week's numbers compare

Power (0 = average team): #1 +14.2 · #10 +9.2 · middle −0.4
SOS (higher is harder): hardest 66.7 · #10 47.8 · middle 28.6 · easiest 10.0
SOR (lower is better): #1 35% · #25 —

Power is in points: a +20 team would be favored by about 20 over an average FCS team on a neutral field, and by 10 over a +10 team. SOS, SOR, and SOV are measured against a #25-level team: one as strong as the 25th-best team in these ratings usually is at season's end (+9.0 points). That comes from these ratings, not the poll. An SOS of 50 means a #25-level team would lose about half of these games; above 50, the opponents were, on average, better than that.

What these columns mean

#: Rank in the column you sorted by (strength of record unless you pick another). "—" means too few FCS games to rank.
vs FCS: Record against FCS teams. These are the only games any number here counts.
All games: Record in every game, including opponents outside FCS. For reference only.
SOR: Strength of record: how often a #25-level team would do at least this well against this exact schedule. Lower is harder to achieve.
Power: Points better than an average FCS team on a neutral field. The difference between two teams is the expected margin.
SOS: Strength of schedule, 0–100: on average, how often a #25-level team would lose each of these games. Higher is harder.
SOS rank: Rank by SOS. Teams need 3 FCS games to be ranked.
SOV: Strength of victory: SOS counting only the games the team won.
Record SOS: NCAA RPI-style schedule strength from records only: 2/3 opponents' win % plus 1/3 their opponents' win %.

Only games between two FCS teams count. Method v1 · 115 FCS games · run 0fb351b07ba6

Team

vs FCS

All games

SOS rank

GeorgetownPatriot

1-2

100%

−5.0

16.4

14.3

0.167

30.9

Sacred HeartNEC

1-2

99%

−4.3

22.0

16.6

0.167

23.2

MonmouthCAA

1-2

98%

+4.1

26.9

25.3

0.519

31.5

The CitadelSouthern

1-2

98%

−4.9

31.9

14.3

0.333

33.8

LehighPatriot

1-2

96%

−7.2

33.9

27.3

0.694

33.2

Prairie View A&MSWAC

1-2

94%

+0.7

38.4

34.8

0.722

22.6

New HampshireCAA

2-1

74%

+0.7

33.3

37.1

0.546

36.2

Rhode IslandCAA

2-1

73%

+3.3

33.8

33.6

0.556

32.8

ChattanoogaSouthern

3-0

61%

+9.8

15.2

0.278

33.0

Austin PeayASUN

3-0

3-1

51%

+13.7

19.4

0.333

30.2

MontanaBig Sky

3-0

46%

+13.4

22.3

0.667

36.5

Jackson StateSWAC

3-0

37%

+14.2

28.4

0.611

24.6

Jacksonville StateASUN

3-0

3-1

35%

+12.6

29.3

1.000

32.9

FordhamPatriot

3-0

35%

+3.9

28.3

0.324

24.1

—

DelawareCAA

2-0

3-0

35%

+11.5

38.6

small sample

38.6

0.917

38.7

—

Incarnate WordSouthland

2-0

3-0

45%

+11.5

32.1

small sample

32.1

0.500

31.2

—

North Dakota StateMVFC

2-0

2-1

74%

+11.4

14.2

small sample

14.2

0.333

34.4

—

William & MaryCAA

2-0

3-0

47%

+9.8

31.7

small sample

31.7

0.917

38.3

—

Youngstown StateMVFC

2-0

2-1

60%

+9.2

22.4

small sample

22.4

1.000

31.8

—

Montana StateBig Sky

2-0

2-1

79%

+8.3

11.3

small sample

11.3

0.250

35.9

—

VillanovaCAA

2-0

2-1

57%

+8.1

23.6

small sample

23.6

0.639

38.2

—

Western CarolinaSouthern

2-0

2-1

69%

+8.1

17.0

small sample

17.0

0.333

30.8

—

Southeastern LouisianaSouthland

1-0

1-2

85%

+7.8

15.4

small sample

15.4

0.000

28.7

—

Holy CrossPatriot

2-0

3-0

52%

+7.6

27.4

small sample

27.4

0.333

25.4

—

RichmondCAA

2-0

2-1

51%

+7.6

28.5

small sample

28.5

0.722

37.2

—

North Carolina CentralMEAC

2-0

3-0

46%

+7.4

30.5

small sample

30.5

0.583

34.4

—

UC DavisBig Sky

1-1

1-2

90%

+7.1

35.1

small sample

20.0

0.500

33.4

—

MercerSouthern

2-0

2-1

78%

+7.1

11.5

small sample

11.5

0.389

33.2

—

ColumbiaIvy

1-0

90%

+7.0

10.2

small sample

10.2

0.000

27.2

—

PrincetonIvy

1-0

66%

+6.9

33.7

small sample

33.7

—

27.2

—

Sacramento StateBig Sky

2-0

57%

+6.8

23.1

small sample

23.1

0.333

37.5

—

Southern UtahWAC

2-0

2-1

59%

+6.6

23.3

small sample

23.3

0.250

26.7

—

South Carolina StateMEAC

1-0

1-1

66%

+6.5

33.7

small sample

33.7

—

23.4

—

South Dakota StateMVFC

2-0

2-1

49%

+6.3

29.5

small sample

29.5

0.917

37.2

—

Weber StateBig Sky

1-0

3-0

86%

+6.3

14.2

small sample

14.2

0.333

38.5

—

ElonCAA

2-0

2-1

62%

+5.5

21.1

small sample

21.1

0.333

39.5

—

DartmouthIvy

1-0

78%

+5.3

22.1

small sample

22.1

0.333

31.1

—

Missouri StateMVFC

2-0

2-1

39%

+5.2

37.2

small sample

37.2

0.917

28.4

—

IdahoBig Sky

1-0

1-2

89%

+5.1

10.8

small sample

10.8

0.333

37.0

—

Eastern KentuckyASUN

1-0

2-1

83%

+4.8

16.6

small sample

16.6

0.333

34.9

—

Illinois StateMVFC

2-0

2-1

74%

+4.6

14.3

small sample

14.3

0.333

32.2

—

Southeast Missouri StateOVC

2-0

2-1

64%

+4.4

19.9

small sample

19.9

0.333

27.9

—

FurmanSouthern

1-0

2-1

70%

+3.8

30.0

small sample

30.0

0.000

34.6

—

Saint FrancisNEC

1-1

1-2

89%

+3.7

36.5

small sample

22.4

0.542

26.3

—

UT MartinOVC

1-1

1-2

90%

+3.3

33.9

small sample

19.9

0.583

23.3

—

Abilene ChristianWAC

2-0

2-1

64%

+3.0

19.9

small sample

19.9

0.417

29.7

—

CornellIvy

1-0

62%

+2.8

38.2

small sample

38.2

0.667

30.0

—

SamfordSouthern

2-0

2-1

55%

+2.8

26.0

small sample

26.0

0.917

35.9

—

Alabama StateSWAC

1-0

2-1

71%

+2.7

28.9

small sample

28.9

0.333

24.3

—

Houston ChristianSouthland

1-1

92%

+2.7

30.0

small sample

38.8

0.833

26.4

—

PennIvy

1-0

76%

+2.6

24.2

small sample

24.2

—

30.7

—

South DakotaMVFC

1-1

1-2

89%

+2.2

42.0

small sample

17.0

0.778

37.9

—

HamptonCAA

2-0

3-0

55%

+2.1

25.2

small sample

25.2

0.333

40.8

—

LindenwoodOVC

1-0

2-0

55%

+2.1

45.4

small sample

45.4

1.000

27.3

—

TowsonCAA

2-0

2-1

53%

+1.9

27.4

small sample

27.4

0.542

38.8

—

Tarleton StateWAC

1-0

2-1

89%

+1.9

11.4

small sample

11.4

0.333

27.7

—

CampbellBig South

1-1

1-2

91%

+1.8

35.8

small sample

16.9

0.722

28.5

—

Morgan StateMEAC

1-1

1-2

94%

+1.2

25.6

small sample

16.8

0.583

33.1

—

Eastern WashingtonBig Sky

1-0

1-1

78%

+1.2

22.3

small sample

22.3

0.333

38.2

—

Texas SouthernSWAC

1-1

1-2

93%

+1.1

26.8

small sample

27.1

0.167

32.4

—

Northern ArizonaBig Sky

1-1

1-2

93%

+0.9

28.6

small sample

38.6

0.750

32.3

—

North DakotaMVFC

2-0

2-1

50%

+0.9

27.9

small sample

27.9

0.667

37.3

—

Gardner-WebbBig South

0-1

1-2

100%

+0.7

50.0

small sample

—

0.667

31.8

—

Central ArkansasASUN

1-1

1-2

92%

+0.7

29.0

small sample

33.7

0.833

37.3

—

Alcorn StateSWAC

1-1

1-2

97%

+0.1

19.5

small sample

25.2

0.250

26.8

—

Arkansas-Pine BluffSWAC

0-0

2-1

—

+0.0

—

25.1

—

Portland StateBig Sky

0-0

0-2

—

+0.0

—

36.1

—

StonehillNEC

0-0

2-0

—

+0.0

—

20.4

—

VMISouthern

1-1

1-2

96%

−0.3

20.8

small sample

20.4

0.250

32.9

—

Tennessee StateOVC

0-2

0-3

100%

−0.4

49.7

small sample

—

0.750

22.1

—

ColgatePatriot

1-1

1-2

89%

−0.6

33.7

small sample

33.7

—

26.1

—

HarvardIvy

1-0

84%

−0.7

15.7

small sample

15.7

0.333

35.2

—

UAlbanyCAA

0-2

0-3

100%

−0.8

33.7

small sample

—

0.611

31.6

—

Sam HoustonWAC

1-1

1-2

96%

−0.8

19.5

small sample

21.3

0.167

31.6

—

DavidsonPioneer

0-1

2-1

100%

−0.8

66.7

small sample

—

1.000

17.6

—

Grambling StateSWAC

1-1

1-2

91%

−1.0

37.2

small sample

15.7

0.500

21.5

—

BrownIvy

1-0

86%

−1.1

13.5

small sample

13.5

0.167

32.4

—

HowardMEAC

0-2

1-3

100%

−1.3

34.5

small sample

—

0.667

29.9

—

Stephen F. AustinWAC

1-1

1-2

79%

−1.3

46.5

small sample

40.7

0.833

28.9

—

Kennesaw StateASUN

0-1

0-2

100%

−1.4

38.1

small sample

—

1.000

31.3

—

Northern ColoradoBig Sky

1-1

1-2

95%

−1.5

23.6

small sample

27.8

0.250

35.4

—

DuquesneNEC

0-1

1-3

100%

−1.5

55.9

small sample

—

1.000

20.7

—

MaineCAA

0-1

0-3

100%

−2.0

17.4

small sample

—

33.2

—

East Texas A&MSouthland

0-2

1-2

100%

−2.2

28.1

small sample

—

0.083

28.2

—

Tennessee TechOVC

1-1

1-2

96%

−2.2

20.6

small sample

16.2

0.500

30.1

—

BucknellPatriot

0-2

0-3

100%

−2.3

27.1

small sample

—

0.417

22.9

—

MerrimackNEC

0-2

1-2

100%

−2.3

33.3

small sample

—

0.667

21.1

—

Northern IowaMVFC

0-2

0-3

100%

−2.6

34.3

small sample

—

0.750

25.6

—

Robert MorrisBig South

0-1

0-2

100%

−2.9

10.0

small sample

—

0.333

20.5

—

Western IllinoisMVFC

0-2

0-3

100%

−3.3

36.6

small sample

—

0.417

35.7

—

ValparaisoPioneer

0-2

1-2

100%

−3.5

41.4

small sample

—

0.667

11.4

—

Norfolk StateMEAC

0-1

0-3

100%

−3.5

20.0

small sample

—

0.667

28.8

—

BryantBig South

0-2

0-3

100%

−3.6

28.3

small sample

—

0.417

28.0

—

Long IslandNEC

0-1

0-3

100%

−3.7

34.3

small sample

—

0.833

21.2

—

Delaware StateMEAC

0-1

2-1

100%

−3.8

57.2

small sample

—

1.000

28.3

—

East Tennessee StateSouthern

0-2

1-2

100%

−4.3

21.4

small sample

—

0.056

33.9

—

YaleIvy

0-1

100%

−4.6

45.1

small sample

—

0.667

32.2

—

Alabama A&MSWAC

0-1

0-3

100%

−4.7

48.5

small sample

—

0.667

27.7

—

DaytonPioneer

1-1

2-1

86%

−4.8

38.3

small sample

33.7

0.833

13.4

—

LamarSouthland

0-2

0-3

100%

−4.8

26.3

small sample

—

0.375

28.2

—

Cal PolyBig Sky

1-1

1-2

97%

−4.9

21.5

small sample

10.4

0.167

37.7

—

Southern IllinoisMVFC

0-2

1-2

100%

−5.2

42.5

small sample

—

0.708

37.1

—

LafayettePatriot

1-1

1-2

95%

−5.4

23.4

small sample

15.6

0.667

30.6

—

North AlabamaASUN

0-2

1-2

100%

−5.5

34.8

small sample

—

0.417

38.5

—

Idaho StateBig Sky

0-1

0-3

100%

−5.7

14.4

small sample

—

0.333

38.9

—

San DiegoPioneer

0-2

1-2

100%

−5.9

31.5

small sample

—

0.083

15.0

—

Charleston SouthernBig South

0-2

0-3

100%

−6.0

35.6

small sample

—

0.667

25.8

—

McNeeseSouthland

0-2

0-3

100%

−6.2

33.3

small sample

—

0.333

29.2

—

Nicholls StateSouthland

0-1

0-3

100%

−6.3

32.7

small sample

—

0.667

30.8

—

ButlerPioneer

0-1

2-1

100%

−6.3

38.1

small sample

—

1.000

15.3

—

Stony BrookCAA

0-1

0-2

100%

−6.3

20.7

small sample

—

0.500

35.7

—

Florida A&MSWAC

0-1

1-2

100%

−6.4

54.1

small sample

—

0.833

24.0

—

Bethune-CookmanSWAC

0-1

0-2

100%

−6.5

21.2

small sample

—

29.0

—

St. Thomas (MN)Pioneer

0-1

1-1

100%

−6.7

37.7

small sample

—

0.667

14.0

—

Murray StateOVC

0-1

0-3

100%

−6.8

42.3

small sample

—

1.000

35.3

—

North Carolina A&TBig South

0-2

0-3

100%

−6.9

48.6

small sample

—

0.750

23.5

—

StetsonPioneer

0-1

2-1

100%

−6.9

21.2

small sample

—

13.4

—

Mississippi Valley StateSWAC

0-2

0-3

100%

−7.2

47.8

small sample

—

0.667

27.0

—

Indiana StateMVFC

1-1

1-2

95%

−7.5

27.3

small sample

13.2

0.528

37.6

—

SouthernSWAC

0-1

1-2

100%

−7.6

17.4

small sample

—

0.000

34.3

—

Eastern IllinoisOVC

0-2

0-3

100%

−7.9

38.0

small sample

—

0.667

24.1

—

Utah TechWAC

0-2

1-2

100%

−8.5

40.5

small sample

—

0.667

31.3

—

WagnerNEC

0-2

0-3

100%

−8.5

23.1

small sample

—

0.444

26.6

—

Central Connecticut StateNEC

0-2

0-3

100%

−8.8

23.2

small sample

—

0.000

24.5

—

DrakePioneer

0-2

0-3

100%

−10.0

44.4

small sample

—

0.667

16.3

—

WoffordSouthern

0-2

0-3

100%

−10.0

38.2

small sample

—

0.667

31.9

—

PresbyterianPioneer

0-2

1-2

100%

−10.5

53.0

small sample

—

0.667

14.2

—

Northwestern StateSouthland

0-2

0-3

100%

−11.0

39.4

small sample

—

0.528

30.7

—

Morehead StatePioneer

0-2

1-2

100%

−11.7

42.7

small sample

—

0.708

16.1

—

MaristPioneer

0-2

100%

−16.8

13.8

small sample

—

0.000

15.0