Montana State
Big Sky · 2-0 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 79% of the time
Power
#11
+8.3 pts · likely #5–67
Strength of schedule
11.3
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
11.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.250
Opp. 0.0% · Opp. opp. 75.0%
Remaining SOS
35.9
11 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs McNeese | W 40-17 | −4.5 | −2.8 | 0.135 | 3 | +14.0 |
| 2 | vs Morehead State | W 63-13 | −7.9 | −2.8 | 0.090 | 4 | +20.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: at Eastern Washington · p 0.369
- Wk 5: vs UC Davis · p 0.377
- Wk 6: vs Idaho State · p 0.117
- Wk 7: at Northern Colorado · p 0.294
- Wk 8: vs Weber State · p 0.354
- Wk 10: at Northern Arizona · p 0.361
- Wk 11: at Cal Poly · p 0.225
- Wk 12: vs Montana · p 0.548
- Wk 14: vs Weber State · p 0.354
- Wk 15: vs William & Mary · p 0.451
- Wk 16: at South Dakota State · p 0.503
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs (N) Oregon StateFBS · L 28-68