Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 1-1 vs FCS · 1-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#55
+0.9 pts · likely #18–103
Strength of schedule
28.6
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
38.6
1 wins
Record SOS
0.750
Opp. 100.0% · Opp. opp. 25.0%
Remaining SOS
32.3
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Sam Houston | W 10-3 | +1.9 | +2.8 | 0.386 | 2 | +8.9 |
| 3 | vs North Dakota | L 24-27 | −1.3 | −2.8 | 0.187 | 3 | −4.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs Idaho · p 0.324
- Wk 5: at Portland State · p 0.337
- Wk 6: vs Cal Poly · p 0.129
- Wk 7: at UC Davis · p 0.525
- Wk 8: at Idaho State · p 0.208
- Wk 10: vs Montana State · p 0.412
- Wk 11: at Northern Colorado · p 0.294
- Wk 12: vs Weber State · p 0.354
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Arizona StateFBS · L 3-40