Central Arkansas
ASUN · 1-1 vs FCS · 1-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 92% of the time
Power
#58
+0.7 pts · likely #20–104
Strength of schedule
29.0
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
33.7
1 wins
Record SOS
0.833
Opp. 100.0% · Opp. opp. 50.0%
Remaining SOS
37.3
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Arkansas. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Missouri State | L 14-27 | +1.5 | −2.8 | 0.243 | 3 | −10.6 |
| 3 | at Idaho State | W 31-16 | −0.0 | +2.8 | 0.337 | 2 | +12.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: at Southeast Missouri State · p 0.449
- Wk 5: vs Austin Peay · p 0.559
- Wk 6: vs Lindenwood · p 0.258
- Wk 7: at Kennesaw State · p 0.301
- Wk 9: vs North Alabama · p 0.121
- Wk 10: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.460
- Wk 11: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.304
- Wk 12: vs Jacksonville State · p 0.534
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Ole MissFBS · L 3-59