Valparaiso
Pioneer · 0-2 vs FCS · 1-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#87
−3.5 pts · likely #37–117
Strength of schedule
41.4
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.667
Opp. 100.0% · Opp. opp. 0.0%
Remaining SOS
11.4
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Valparaiso. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Illinois State | L 21-28 | +5.9 | +2.8 | 0.491 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 3 | at Dartmouth | L 13-35 | 0.0 | +2.8 | 0.337 | 2 | −14.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs San Diego · p 0.116
- Wk 6: at Presbyterian · p 0.127
- Wk 7: vs Butler · p 0.110
- Wk 8: at Morehead State · p 0.106
- Wk 9: at Dayton · p 0.228
- Wk 10: vs St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.100
- Wk 11: at Marist · p 0.055
- Wk 12: vs Drake · p 0.068
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Indiana WesleyanNon-NCAA · W 20-17