Cal Poly
Big Sky · 1-1 vs FCS · 1-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#98
−4.9 pts · likely #46–120
Strength of schedule
21.5
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
10.4
1 wins
Record SOS
0.167
Opp. 0.0% · Opp. opp. 50.0%
Remaining SOS
37.7
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Cal Poly. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs San Diego | W 28-27 | −6.8 | −2.8 | 0.104 | 3 | −7.6 |
| 3 | at South Dakota | L 21-38 | −0.5 | +2.8 | 0.325 | 2 | −12.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Sacramento State · p 0.373
- Wk 6: at Northern Arizona · p 0.361
- Wk 7: at Idaho State · p 0.208
- Wk 8: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.239
- Wk 9: at UC Davis · p 0.525
- Wk 10: at Montana · p 0.690
- Wk 11: vs Montana State · p 0.412
- Wk 12: vs Portland State · p 0.212
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Fresno StateFBS · L 7-35