Monmouth
CAA · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-2 overall
Strength of record
#12
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#34
+4.1 pts · likely #14–84
Strength of schedule
26.9
#9 of 130
Strength of victory
25.3
1 wins
Record SOS
0.519
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 22.2%
Remaining SOS
31.5
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Monmouth. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at New Hampshire | L 21-31 | −1.9 | +2.8 | 0.290 | 2 | −6.6 |
| 2 | vs Fordham | L 49-52 | +2.4 | −2.8 | 0.263 | 2 | −1.9 |
| 3 | vs Georgetown | W 45-6 | +2.0 | −2.8 | 0.253 | 2 | +27.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: at Villanova · p 0.562
- Wk 5: at Lehigh · p 0.182
- Wk 6: vs UAlbany · p 0.198
- Wk 7: at Maine · p 0.287
- Wk 8: vs Rhode Island · p 0.290
- Wk 9: vs Towson · p 0.253
- Wk 10: at Delaware · p 0.645
- Wk 12: vs Stony Brook · p 0.105