Towson
CAA · 2-0 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 53% of the time
Power
#49
+1.9 pts · likely #19–100
Strength of schedule
27.4
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
27.4
2 wins
Record SOS
0.542
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 62.5%
Remaining SOS
38.8
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Towson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Bucknell | W 14-13 OT | −2.5 | +2.8 | 0.277 | 2 | +1.5 |
| 2 | vs Morgan State | W 29-21 | +2.8 | −2.8 | 0.271 | 2 | +6.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs New Hampshire · p 0.232
- Wk 5: at Delaware · p 0.645
- Wk 6: at Elon · p 0.484
- Wk 8: vs William & Mary · p 0.451
- Wk 9: at Monmouth · p 0.437
- Wk 10: vs Villanova · p 0.413
- Wk 11: at Stony Brook · p 0.190
- Wk 12: vs Hampton · p 0.254
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at West VirginiaFBS · L 7-65