Merrimack
NEC · 0-2 vs FCS · 1-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#83
−2.3 pts · likely #35–116
Strength of schedule
33.3
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.667
Opp. 100.0% · Opp. opp. 0.0%
Remaining SOS
21.1
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Merrimack. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Holy Cross | L 17-31 | +5.3 | −2.8 | 0.330 | 2 | −9.2 |
| 3 | at Harvard | L 21-28 OT | −0.0 | +2.8 | 0.337 | 2 | −1.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: at Delaware State · p 0.247
- Wk 5: vs Long Island · p 0.146
- Wk 6: at Duquesne · p 0.299
- Wk 7: vs Wagner · p 0.082
- Wk 8: vs Sacred Heart · p 0.137
- Wk 9: at Stonehill · p 0.337
- Wk 11: at Central Connecticut State · p 0.153
- Wk 12: vs Saint Francis · p 0.290
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs AssumptionDII · W 45-17