New Haven
NEC · 2-6 vs FCS · 2-6 overall
Strength of record
#104
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#112
−9.8 pts · likely #86–118
Strength of schedule
37.2
#39 of 128
Strength of victory
20.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.526
Opp. 57.2% · Opp. opp. 43.6%
Remaining SOS
16.0
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against New Haven. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Stonehill | L 3-21 | −4.8 | −2.2 | 0.139 | 3 | −22.6 |
| 1 | vs Marist | W 22-21 | −6.8 | −2.2 | 0.111 | 3 | −8.5 |
| 2 | at South Dakota State | L 14-57 | +20.0 | +2.2 | 0.817 | 1 | −12.9 |
| 3 | vs Brown | L 10-17 | +5.8 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Duquesne · p 0.250
- Wk 10: vs Long Island · p 0.141
- Wk 11: at Wagner · p 0.056
- Wk 12: at Mercyhurst · p 0.193