Stonehill
NEC · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#77
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#78
−2.4 pts · likely #49–103
Strength of schedule
21.7
#108 of 128
Strength of victory
22.8
#52
Record SOS
0.439
Opp. 42.1% · Opp. opp. 47.3%
Remaining SOS
17.2
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-3
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stonehill. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at New Haven | W 21-3 | −8.4 | +2.2 | 0.152 | 3 | +10.3 |
| 1 | vs Bryant | L 6-24 | −2.9 | −2.2 | 0.168 | 3 | −21.9 |
| 2 | at New Hampshire | L 35-42 | −4.5 | +2.2 | 0.222 | 3 | −8.3 |
| 6 | at Sacred Heart | W 28-7 | −1.0 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Mercyhurst · p 0.120
- Wk 10: vs Central Connecticut State · p 0.319
- Wk 11: at Robert Morris · p 0.218
- Wk 12: vs Wagner · p 0.029
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at MassachusettsFBS · L 14-36
- Wk 4: at OhioFBS · L 7-35